JUL 2006 HIGHLIGHTS
Jul 25... Rain finally falls over Winnipeg.. but too little to alleviate drought.
An area of showers and thundershowers moved through Southern Manitoba Tuesday bringing the first measurable rain to the Winnipeg area in two weeks. 6 mm of rain was recorded at Winnipeg airport Tuesday morning, the first measurable rain in the city since July 13th (4.5 mm), and only the second day of measurable rain this month. Rainfall today ranged from 2.3 mm in Charleswood to 8.6 mm in Fort Richmond. The 6 mm at Winnipeg airport brings the monthly total for July to 10.5 mm, still on pace to be the city's driest July since records began in 1872. The driest July on record in Winnipeg was back in 1875 when only 13.5 mm of rain fell for the month. There is still a chance of additional rainfall on Thursday and towards the end of the month, so the record is far from a certainty.. especially considering summertime rainfall can be very heavy.
JAN 2006
HIGHLIGHTS
..Warmest January on record in Winnipeg and much of Manitoba..
January 2006 will go down in the history books as
The
main cause for the unusual stretch of mild weather has been the displacement of
the Arctic vortex which normally sits over the Canadian high
1. 2006..... - 7.4C
2. 1944..... -10.6C
3. 1942..... -11.4C (would have
been warmest if not for very cold first week)
4. 1992..... -11.5C
5. 1990..... -11.6C
6. 1987..... -11.8C
6. 1919..... -11.8C
8. 1958..... -11.9C
9. 1931..... -12.2C
10.
1983..... -12.4C
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Long Range
Guidance:
* Alternate
Environment Canada Day 3-5 forecast (FOCN12)
* 5 day Max temp anomaly - HPC
* 5
day FM Temperature Guidance - Manitoba
* 10
day MRF loop
* 10
day mean temperature anomaly forecast - Canada (CMC)
* 5 - 10 day mean temperature
forecast - Canada (MRF)
* 5 - 10 day mean precipitation
forecast - Canada (MRF)
* 6-10
day outlook (CPC)
* 8-14
day outlook (CPC)
* AO/NAO/PNA Outlooks (CPC)
* 0-16
day GFS
* 15 day ensemble
loops - 500
mb pattern, 500
mb height anomaly, 850
mb temp anomaly, homepage
* Multi-model ensemble site
* Long
Range Model Comparison (ECMWF/GFS/CMC/NOGAPS)
* ECMWF
3-6 day
* ECMWF progs - Day
3, Day
4, Day
5, Day
6, Day
7
Among
some of the more useful links for long range forecasting..
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Diagnostic Discussion
Most
Recent 2 Months Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Animation
ENSO
Impacts by Region
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