November Warmth Continues This Week

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Southern Manitoba will recover from the weekend rain quite nicely with warming temperatures and lots of sunshine.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday November 7, 2024
An upper ridge will begin to push mild weather into Manitoba later this week.

A ridge of high pressure will bring plenty of sunshine to the Winnipeg region today with light winds. Temperatures will climb to a seasonably mild high around 6 °C this afternoon. Tonight, a decaying low pressure system will begin to spread cloud cover into the region as temperatures head to a low down to around -3 °C.

Tomorrow, Winnipeg and the Red River Valley will see mainly cloudy skies as the decaying system mentioned above moves through. The clouds will keep it cooler with a near-seasonal high in the low single digits and winds will continue to be light. Skies will gradually clear out tomorrow night with a low down near -5 °C.

For the rest of the week, an upper ridge will build into the Prairies, bringing sunshine and warm weather. Daytime highs will climb into the 5 to 10 °C range with lows near freezing or warmer for the second half of the week. Winds will become more present on Thursday with southerly winds strengthening into to 30–40 km/h range for the afternoon. Winds will become calmer again on Friday.

Long Range Outlook

Pleasant conditions will last right through the weekend with seasonably warm daytime highs and mainly sunny skies. The pleasant conditions will continue into the start of next week week, but temperatures will begin to moderate towards more seasonal values.

The next chance for precipitation looks to come in the middle of next week, and it could come as a mix of rain and snow. It doesn’t look like accumulations will be all that much, but we could see the first coating of snow of the season. Temperatures will continue to be mild, though, so it’s unlikely that the snow will stick!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is +2 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -7 °C.

Warm Weather Brings Rainy End to Weekend

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Mild early-November weather will continue into the weekend, but a disturbance moving into the region will bring rain later on Sunday to end the weekend.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday November 2, 2024
A persistent southerly flow will bring warm temperatures to southern Manitoba over the next few days.

With southerly winds up to around 20 km/h, daytime highs will climb into the 5 to 10 °C range in Winnipeg right through the weekend.

Today will bring mainly cloudy skies to the region, but no precipitation is expected. Skies will clear this evening with winds becoming light. Under clear skies, temperatures will dip down to around -5 °C overnight.

Saturday will bring sunnier conditions; mixed skies in the morning will give way to clear skies in the afternoon. Southerly winds will pick back up to around 20 km/h in the afternoon.

Thicker cloud cover will begin to work into the region overnight ahead of a broad disturbance that begins to track across the Prairies. This cloud will keep it warmer overnight with lows only around 0 °C.

On Sunday, the first notable weather in quite a while will move through the province. A broad area of low pressure will track through the province, bringing a chance of rain showers to most of the region. Heading into Sunday night, a more organized area of rain will develop over North Dakota and lift northeast, bringing steadier rain to the Red River Valley and areas east. Many areas will likely see 5 to 10 mm of rain by Monday morning.

This system will keep it very mild on Sunday night with lows only around 5 °C. The rain will taper off later Sunday night.

Long Range Outlook

Despite the passage of Sunday’s system, the weather will stay seasonably mild to start next week as another low begins to track east across the southern Prairies. It will bring even milder weather to Winnipeg on Tuesday, but then it will sweep a cold front across the region that will bring a chance of rain or snow to the region.

Temperatures will be cooler in the wake of this system, but again, it looks to be short-lived as mild weather could return for next weekend.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is +3 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -6 °C.

Seasonal Conditions Settle in for the Week

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Conditions across the Red River Valley will settle into a nearly statistically perfect normal through the rest of the week. Pleasant and benign fall conditions will continue for Winnipeg right through the weekend. On the plus side, Halloween will be much more pleasant this year than the region saw last October!

Conditions across the Red River Valley will settle into a nearly statistically perfect normal through the rest of the week. Pleasant and benign fall conditions will continue for Winnipeg right through the weekend.
A ridge of high pressure will push into southern Manitoba this week while the cold air is locked away further to the north.

Settled conditions will sit over much of Manitoba this week as a high pressure system builds in from the west. This will result in a boring weather week for the Winnipeg area; daytime highs will settle to the mid-single digits with lows dipping to the mid-minus single digits most nights. The region will see variable cloudiness over the next several days, but no notable precipitation is in the forecast.

A disturbance will track southeast of the region overnight into Wednesday, but its rain should stay well to the southeast. There is a slight chance of some lake-effect precipitation in its wake on Wednesday, but that would most likely only come from Lake Winnipeg and track southeast, leaving the Red River Valley unaffected.

For Halloween, it continues to look vastly superior to last year’s frozen tromp through a windy snowscape. By evening, temperatures will sit near +2 °C and slowly dip to around freezing by midnight. Winds will be calm under partly cloudy skies.

Long Range Outlook

There’s little change in the weather ahead, with seasonal conditions lasting right into next week. There looks to be a chance of rain next Monday with the potential for some seasonably mild conditions next week.

There’s little indication of any major cold snap or pattern change heading right into the second week of November. The beautiful fall conditions continue for Winnipeg!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 5 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -4 °C.

Pleasant Fall Weekend Ahead

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It will be a pleasant weekend for the Winnipeg region with plenty of sun and near-seasonal temperatures.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday October 26, 2024
Pleasant late-fall temperatures will settle over southern Manitoba this weekend.

The week will end with settled conditions as an area of high pressure moves across the province. Northwesterly winds of 20 to 30 km/h will ease tonight as the ridge builds in, then gradually shift southerly and then easterly over the following 24 hours. Temperatures will climb to a high near 10 °C both today and Saturday, but tonight will be colder than Saturday night. Expect a low closer to -5 °C tonight and dipping just below freezing on Saturday night.

Both days should bring plenty of sun to the region, but some warmer air beginning to push towards the region on Saturday will bring mixed skies into the afternoon.

On Sunday, a more organized southerly flow will develop over the region in response to a low developing in Alberta. This will likely result in southeasterly winds that pick up into the 20–30 km/h range by evening and then strengthen into the night. It will be warmer on Sunday with a high in the low teens and a low on Sunday night that stays in the 5–10 °C range. Skies will likely be a mix of sun and cloud.

Long Range Outlook

Next week looks to start off warm with a high in the mid-teens under sunny skies on Monday. After that, seasonal temperatures will filter back into the region for the rest of the week. No precipitation is in the forecast until close to Halloween.

For Halloween, guidance largely continues to suggest a pleasant day overall with a high in the mid-single digits that drops close to freezing for the evening. Still looking like a solid improvement from what the region saw last year!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 7 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -3 °C.