The warm, dry weather that has dominated over the past week will continue through the remainder of this week as an area of high pressure continues to stake its claim over the Red River Valley.
Wednesday
Today will bring a fair amount of cloud, but it appears that any precipitation will likely remain west of the Red River Valley in Southwestern Manitoba northwards into the Parkland region. There will likely be a small chance of some isolated showers through the Red River Valley, but the odds look slim and even if there were, the total rainfall amounts would be minimal.
While the dry weather is generally appreciated given the wet spring and start to summer, some rainfall would be welcome in the Red River Valley. Winnipeg’s July ended as the 14th driest on record while, in general, the southwestern Red River Valley has now fallen to between 75–90% the normal accumulated precipitation for the growing season. For crops that are near harvest, the dry weather has been welcome, but some crops will be beginning to undergo some stress due to the lack of rainfall. Unfortunately, no significant rains are in the forecast in the coming week.
Cloud and precipitation aside, today will be pleasant. Daytime highs will sit in the upper 20s with light winds. There’s significant disagreement as to what will happen overnight, though, as some models produce no precipitation whatsoever – which is what I’m leaning towards – while others develop an area of showers in the evening and move it through the Red River Valley.
While the possibility certainly exists for some rain tomorrow night, or even an isolated thunderstorm, it’s most likely that the weather will remain dry in the Red River Valley. We’ll be sure to provide an update in the comments below as things become more clear later today. The temperature will drop into the upper teens overnight.
Thursday & Friday
Warm temperatures will continue Thursday with daytime highs once again in the upper 20s. Skies will be mixed with an outside chance of isolated showers in Winnipeg & the Red River Valley. Winds will continue to be light.
Partly cloudy skies with a slight chance for isolated shower activity returns Thursday night as temperatures dip into the upper teens.
Friday will bring partly cloudy skies with a high once again in the mid-to-upper 20’s. Friday night will bring partly cloudy skies with a low in the mid-teens.
Weekend Look-Ahead
Summer weather continues right through the weekend with plenty of sunshine on Saturday and Sunday with daytime highs in the upper 20’s. A cold front will advance through the Red River Valley late Saturday afternoon through the evening and bring a chance for thunderstorms to the region, otherwise the weekend into the start of next week looks dry.