Smoke over SK & MB - June 28, 2015

Smoky with a Risk of Thunderstorms

This week will start out with hazy skies from forest fires burning over Northern Saskatchewan and Alberta. There will also be a risk of thunderstorms today as a cold front moves through southern Manitoba.

Monday

Today will feature hazy skies, as extensive smoke from northern Saskatchewan/Alberta continues to pour south-eastward into southern Manitoba. The smoke will likely hold down high temperatures to the mid twenties, when they would otherwise be in the upper twenties. Despite the cooler temperatures, it is still expected that storms will develop along a cold front ahead of an incoming upper disturbance. At this point it appears that storms will be strong to marginally severe, with the highest potential for severe storms being in south-eastern Manitoba. The main threat with storms tomorrow will be large hail, although gusty winds are also possible. The main uncertainty surrounding tomorrow’s storm threat is how much the smoke will affect atmospheric (in)stability. If smoke is less extensive than expected, storms could potentially be stronger due to extra daytime heating.

Tuesday

Tuesday will be a nice day, with temperatures in the mid twenties under mainly sunny skies and light winds. There may still be some lingering smoke, but it shouldn’t be as extensive as earlier in the week. No precipitation is expected.

Wednesday

Wednesday will be another pleasant day in southern Manitoba. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper twenties under mainly sunny skies. Winds will be light once again and there is only a slim chance of showers.

Long Range

The medium-term forecast suggests we’ll generally see normal to above-normal weather for the next week or so. Beyond that it appears there may be slightly more unsettled conditions as we see more frequent chances for stronger weather systems passing through the region.

Scott

Scott grew up in Steinbach, Manitoba and joined A Weather Moment in January of 2012. Prior to his involvement with AWM he operated a website called Steinbach Weather, from 2007 until 2011. Steinbach Weather had many similarities to AWM, making for a smooth transition to his new meteorological home. Scott currently writes the Monday morning at AWM and also contributes to some of the unique products available at AWM, including the Manitoba Mesonet. Scott holds a B.Sc. (Hons) in Physical Geography from the University of Manitoba, with specialization in Atmospheric Science. He is currently working on a Master's Degree at the University of Manitoba, with a focus on elevated convection.

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