The second half of the work week will bring warm weather to Winnipeg with several chances for showers or thunderstorms.
Winnipeg will see a slight chance of a thunderstorm today as a weak disturbance rolls through the region. While this morning will bring some sunshine, conditions will cloud up midday with a chance of showers or thunderstorms throughout the afternoon. It will be relatively mild despite the cloudier afternoon conditions, though, with daytime highs reaching around 25°C. Winds will pick up out of the south this morning to around 30 gusting 50 km/h. Expect skies to clear out this evening as winds taper off and temperatures head to a low near 15°C.
Thursday will bring mainly sunny skies and warm temperatures as daytime highs climb to 29 or 30°C. Winds will be fairly light, making for a wonderful summer day. A disturbance moving through on Thursday evening will spread cloud into southern Manitoba and bring a chance of showers or thunderstorms overnight into early Friday morning. Temperatures will dip to a low near 17°C.
Friday will be another warm day with highs around 29°C. An incoming low pressure system will begin spreading cloud into the region midday. By late-afternoon, skies should cloud up completely and yet another chance for showers or thunderstorms move into the region for Friday evening and overnight. Temperatures will dip to a low near 18°C.
Despite several chances for rain, overall there are no strong signals that it will affect a widespread area. As we show in the image above, some forecast models produce essentially no rainfall for Winnipeg. The one thing that can be said with some confidence? Areas closer to the international border have a higher chance of seeing something.
Long Range
The weather this weekend will largely be shaped by a low-moving low pressure system that will track across the province from northwest to southeast. Saturday will bring a chance of showers with risk of a thunderstorm to Winnipeg, which will then looks to transition into a chance of showers overnight into Sunday. High temperatures will likely be slightly below normal with highs in the lower 20’s, but overnight lows will be near-seasonal at around 13 or 14°C.
Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.
Hey Brad. I’m planning a horseshoe tournament in my backyard in Lockport for Saturday July 22. It’s an all day event starting with breakfast at 11 am and ending with fireworks around midnight. I’m expecting about 35 people and it is all planned for outdoors.
What’s your exoertise tell you? Do you think I should postpone this event or is the weather going to cooperate?
It’s looking a little up in the air right now. More models than not are suggesting that we’ll see a chance of showers or thunderstorms, but there are a few suggesting a sunny day. I’ll have more time to look at it this evening when I create our forecast post for tomorrow morning, so I’ll try to dig in a bit more then.
If I had to give an answer, I’d say that it won’t be a rainy day, but it seems likely there may be some scattered showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thanks for your reply. I’m looking forward to your forecast tomorrow morning. Have a nice evening.