Author: Brad

Brad lives in Winnipeg with his wife and two children and is the founder of A Weather Moment. He has loved weather from a very young age and has followed that passion through his life so far. He received a B.Sc. in Earth Sciences with Specialization in Atmospheric Sciences and is currently employed in the field of meteorology. You can find the author as WeatherInThePeg on Mastodon.

Hot and Humid Summer Weather Comes to Southern Manitoba This Weekend

Brad

The heat will gradually amplify across southern Manitoba over the coming days as a hot and humid air mass builds into the province.

NAM 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Sunday June 19, 2022
Very hot and humid conditions will move into Southern Manitoba by Sunday.

After a couple cool, windy, and showery days across the region, summer weather is quickly rebounding back into southern Manitoba. Driven by an intensifying upper ridge, Winnipeg will see near-seasonal conditions today quickly heat up into the weekend.

It will be a beautiful day in Winnipeg today with temperatures climbing to the mid-20s under sunny skies. Winds won’t be much of an issue, swinging around to the east for the afternoon and picking up to around 20 km/h. Humidity will stay comfortable through the day with dew points around 10 °C. Temperatures will drop into the mid-teens tonight with some cloud moving into the area as a warm front approaches.

Saturday will bring a cloudy start to the day with some showers or thunderstorms possible through the morning into midday. Some sunny breaks will develop in the afternoon as temperatures head to a high in the upper 20s. Winds will strengthen out of the southeast to around 40 km/h with gradually increasing humidity. The dew point will climb into the mid- to upper-teens by the end of the day as the warm air continues to push into the region. Temperatures will stay very warm on Saturday night, only dropping into the low 20s with a gradually diminishing wind.

Sunday will bring dangerous heat to southern Manitoba as the mercury soars and very humid conditions develop. With partly cloudy skies, temperatures on Sunday will climb into the low to mid-30s across most of southern Manitoba. As this happens, dew points will rise rapidly as the day warms up, increasing from the mid-teens up into the 20–25 °C range through the morning. This heat and humidity will produce humidex values of 40–45, making for weather that can be dangerous to be exposed to for extended periods.

In preparation for the heat, ensure that if you have air conditioning its in working order. Limit your exposure to the heat on Sunday, drinking plenty of water and ensuring you can find breaks to cool off whether it be indoors, shade, or other cooling opportunities such as city-run splash pads (great for the kids!). If you know anyone at risk for heat-related illnesses such as elderly individuals, those without air conditioning or access to cool spaces, or some with other forms of chronic illnesses, organize a plan to check in with them or provide some way of cooling off. Be sure to check out more information about preparing for and managing heat-related illnesses.

Sunday night will also stay very warm with overnight lows only dipping into the low 20s. Some showers or thunderstorms are likely on Sunday night, but they will likely avoid the Red River Valley. They should develop well to the west-northwest and likely pose a more notable risk to the Parkland and Interlake regions.

Long Range Outlook

Hot weather will continue on Monday, but it won’t be quite as extreme as seen on Sunday; highs in the low 30s will combine with dew points easing into the upper teens. This will produce humidex values of 35–40, which when combined with the second night of very warm lows may still be an issue for some. Conditions will turn more unsettled for the rest of the week as cooler air brings more seasonal conditions back to the region.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 24 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 11 °C.

Weather Turning Unsettled This Weekend

Brad

Winnipeg will see another day of sunny and mild conditions before cloudier, unsettled weather moves into the region.

RDPS 2m Dew Point Temperature Forecast valid 12Z Monday June 13, 2022
Humid conditions will push into southern Manitoba by the end of the weekend with dew point values climbing into the upper teens.

Today is Winnipeg’s last day under the influence of the upper ridge over the Prairies. After a mostly sunny start to the day, temperatures will climb into the mid-20s for the afternoon. Skies will cloud over through the day as a warm front approaches from the west.

A few showers may be possible this evening, but the activity will weaken though the night. The warm front will stall southwest of the region on Saturday and continue to bring cloud to the region. A few showers may linger across the region early Saturday, but should taper off as the morning progresses.

From Sunday onwards, the upper ridge will slump southwards, allowing multiple disturbances to ride over it across the southern Prairies. While cloud will keep daytime highs in the low to mid-20s, southerly winds will raise dew points into the upper teens. This will give the region the first stretch of humid conditions this summer. Another chance of showers or thunderstorms will develop across the region on Saturday night into Sunday morning. That activity will clear out on Sunday morning, leaving behind mixed to cloudy skies for the rest of the day.

Long Range Outlook

Generally unsettled conditions will persist through the first half of next week as several disturbances roll through the region. A few periods of showers or thunderstorms will again be possible on Monday and Tuesday. Conditions will begin to improve on Wednesday with some sunshine returning the region, but there may be enough lingering instability for a few late-day showers.

Heading into the second half of next week, there’s strong indications that even warmer weather will begin moving into the region. Daytime highs may climb into the upper 20s by the end of next week.

With humid and warmer weather on the horizon, it’s a great time to check to make sure you have some fans in your home and that, if you have it, your air conditioning unit is working correctly. Heat stress is becoming more common in western Canada summers; ensuring that everything works before the warm weather arrives will help protect you. If there are any issues, you’ll likely find what you need easier and cheaper before the heat arrives. If you live alone, think about having someone you might check in with daily this summer during periods of extreme heat, especially if you don’t have access to air conditioning.

It looks like the shift into summer has finally begun; enjoy it! Especially after the winter we just had to endure!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 23 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 10 °C.

A Beautiful Week Ahead for Winnipeg

Brad

Summer finally arrives in southern Manitoba.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Wednesday June 8, 2022
Mild summer temperatures will spread into the eastern Prairies this week.

The upper low that has kept Winnipeg in a seasonably cool pattern over the last week is finally beginning to move. The stagnant pattern that’s been in place over the Prairies is breaking down and a stalled upper low along the northern Manitoba/Ontario border will begin to drift eastwards. As it does, the pool of cold air it’s kept over the region will follow, allowing milder air to spread in from the west. An upper ridge will build into the Prairies through the rest of the week, bringing warmth and relatively settled conditions to the Red River Valley.

As a result, the forecast is short! Winnipeg will see daytime highs in the low- to mid-20s through the remainder of the week with lows climbing into the low teens. Skies will be mainly sunny over the next few days with just a bit of afternoon cloud. Wind also won’t be too much of an issue, picking up out of the north into the 20–30 km/h range each day and easing to light in the evenings.

Long Range Outlook

Some cloud cover will push into the region later on Friday ahead of a disturbance heading into the province. This will mark the start of a more unsettled stretch of weather. A few showers are possible this weekend, with stormier weather possible to start next week. Temperatures will stay warm with highs in the mid-20s, and increasing humidity will push lows into the upper teens.

All in all, it looks like we can say goodbye to “risk of frost” and hello to sunscreen. Enjoy the warm, dry weather ahead this week!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 23 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 10 °C.

Seasonably Cool, Drier Weather Ahead

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A stalled low pressure system over the province will keep temperatures cool over the weekend. On the bright side, there won’t be much rain in the days ahead.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Friday June 3, 2022
Mild but below-seasonal temperatures will stay in place over southern Manitoba through the weekend. Northern Manitoba will see much cooler conditions.

Below-seasonal temperatures will continue over the coming days as a captured cold low sits stalled over the province. Daytime highs over the next few days will sit in the 15–20 °C range with a northwesterly breeze each day. The region will see plenty of sunshine with some pop-up afternoon clouds. Overnight lows will likewise be cool, generally dipping to around 5 °C.

A bit more cloud will move through the region on Sunday. The stalled low over the province will dip southwards, also bringing slightly cooler temperatures. There’s a slight chance for a bit of rain, but it looks likely that any wet weather will stick to the north of the Red River Valley. Accumulations would be light with just a couple mm of rain possible in a small band.

Warmer weather will return on Monday with highs climbing back into the upper teens with mixed skies.

Long Range Outlook

Temperatures will trend back towards seasonal values next week, but no substantial shift into warmer weather is forecast. A weak upper trough will linger across the region through most of the week, bringing the occasional chance of afternoon showers driven by daytime heating. Forecast models show an increasing chance of a large upper ridge building across the Prairies by next weekend. This would bring settled and warmer weather to the region. There is a chance, though, that as that air mass builds across the Prairies through the weekend, there would again be the potential for more organized showers/thunderstorms as a warm front lifts through the region.

But for now, things will be able to dry out a bit with cool, dry conditions, sunny to mixed skies, and a breezy northwest wind.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 22 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 9 °C.