Author: Scott

Scott grew up in Steinbach, Manitoba and joined A Weather Moment in January of 2012. Prior to his involvement with AWM he operated a website called Steinbach Weather, from 2007 until 2011. Steinbach Weather had many similarities to AWM, making for a smooth transition to his new meteorological home. Scott currently writes the Monday morning at AWM and also contributes to some of the unique products available at AWM, including the Manitoba Mesonet. Scott holds a B.Sc. (Hons) in Physical Geography from the University of Manitoba, with specialization in Atmospheric Science. He is currently working on a Master's Degree at the University of Manitoba, with a focus on elevated convection.

Warm Weather Continues

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Warm weather will continue this week as temperatures remain well above seasonal values.

Mild weather will continue in southern Manitoba on Monday
Mild weather will continue in southern Manitoba on Monday

The Week Ahead

Monday

Today will be mild, but breezy. High temperatures will sit in the low teens with a gusty west wind. Skies should remain mainly sunny, making for a generally nice day.

Tuesday

A developing low pressure system to our west will give us south-easterly winds for Tuesday. This southerly flow will also draw up some warmer air, pushing high temperatures into the upper teens. Skies are expected to be a mix of sun and cloud as an upper disturbance passes through the region.

Wedensday

Wednesday looks to be the warmest day of the week as high temperatures climb into the 20s once again. These warm temperatures will be the result of a stiff southerly flow ahead of an approaching low pressure system. Skies are expected to be mainly sunny, but with a gusty south wind.

Long Range

The long range forecast continues to look warm. However, a cold front will pass through southern Manitoba late on Wednesday, ushering in slightly cooler conditions for Thursday. Medium-range models suggest that above-normal weather will stick around until at least the beginning of the weekend, which will mean high temperatures remaining well into the teens. Further out in the long range it appears another cold front may pass through later on the weekend, which may cool us down temporarily, but it’s too soon to say for sure.

Gradually Warming Up

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Temperatures will gradually warm this week as we move back into more spring-like conditions.

Monday will remain cool as a strong high pressure sits just off to our north
Monday will remain cool as a strong high pressure sits just off to our north

Monday

Monday
1°C / -4°C
Mainly Sunny

Today will remain on the cool side as a surface high remains parked off to our north. This high will keep arctic-ish air over southern Manitoba, suppressing high temperatures to near the freezing mark. Winds will be light however, making for a pleasant, but slightly chilly day.

Tuesday

Tuesday
4°C / -1°C
Mix of sun and cloud

Tuesday will see a slight uptick in temperatures over Monday, with values climbing a few degrees above zero. Skies will be a mixture of sun and cloud and winds will be breezy from the east. There may be a bit of snow on Tuesday night as a strong upper-impulse moves through, but accumulations will be small.

Wednesday

Wednesday
7°C / 0°C
Mainly Sunny

Wednesday will see temperatures increase further, with highs in the mid to upper single digits in southern Manitoba. Skies should remain mainly sunny with light winds, making for a nice day!

Long Range

The long range forecast shows increasingly warm temperatures toward the end of the week. Models suggest that above-normal weather will last into mid-April at least. This means highs frequently into the teens and very long range models even show our first 20C readings of the year!

Warm & Unsettled

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This week will start out warm, but a bit unsettled thanks to a series of low pressure systems that will pass through the region, bringing variable weather conditions.

The first of a series of low pressure systems will pass through Manitoba on Monday
The first of a series of low pressure systems will pass through Manitoba on Monday

Monday

Monday
13°C / 0°C
Mix of sun and cloud with chance of showers

Today will be a mixture of sun and cloud as a low pressure system passes through the region. This low may generate some shower activity in southern Manitoba, but accumulations will be small. A cold front will pass through in the afternoon, causing winds to pick up from the north-west. Temperatures should climb into the low teens in most areas making for a warm but slightly unsettled day.

Tuesday

Tuesday
14°C / 5°C
Mainly sunny

Tuesday will be a nice day in southern Manitoba. There will be some cloud cover, but there should be more sun than cloud. Temperatures will climb into the low to mid teens with increasingly strong south winds. Overall, a pleasant spring day!

Wednesday

Wednesday
13°C / -2°C
Mainly cloudy with showers

Wednesday will see the return of unsettled conditions as another low pressure system approaches the region. This system will be quite powerful, but luckily most of the heavy precipitation (and that in solid form) will remain to our north. We will nonetheless see some shower activity and mainly cloudy skies. Winds will shift from southerly in the morning to westerly in the afternoon.

Long Range

The long range forecast continues to look quite variable. After Wednesday’s system exits the region we’ll see markedly cooler weather as cold air floods down from the north. Following this cool-down it appears that temperatures will hover around seasonal values, give or take a few degrees.

Say it Ain’t Snow

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Snow will make a late-season appearance this week, an unwelcome surprise in what has generally been a very pleasant March.

Significant snowfall will be possible by the middle of this week as a low pressure system moves into the region
Significant snowfall will be possible by the middle of this week as a low pressure system moves into the region

Monday

Monday
3°C / 0°C
Flurries ending

Today will see some light snow tapering off in the morning as a system from overnight exits the region. Thankfully, temperatures will rise above zero by this afternoon, which should melt most of the snow that fell last night and this morning. Once the snow ends skies are expected to remain mainly cloudy and but winds will remain light.

Tuesday

Tuesday
6°C / 1°C
Mainly cloudy with chance of showers

Tuesday looks to be warmest day this week as we sit in the warm sector of the winter storm that will bring us snow on Wednesday. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper single digits, which should help to eliminate any of Monday’s snow that was yet to melt. There may be a few stray showers throughout the day, but otherwise no significant precipitation is expected. The main event will arrive overnight…

Wednesday

Wednesday
2°C / -12°C
Snow

The much-discussed winter storm will arrive on Wednesday. It will not be a particularly powerful storm by any measure, but that won’t stop it from producing significant snowfall in some areas. Currently, it appears that Winnipeg and the Red River Valley is in line for 5-10 cm from this system. Areas further west, particularly in higher elevations and upslope terrain, could see closer to 30 cm. However, it is still too early to place a large amount of confidence in these predictions. As we get closer to Wednesday, more accurate snowfall forecasts will become available.

Long Range

Following the departure of Wednesday’s storm we’ll see temperatures drop back down to below seasonal values to end the week. Models suggest that we’ll continue to be caught between a trough to the east and a ridge to the west, meaning we’ll see frequent oscillations between slightly above and slightly below normal conditions. Until this pattern shifts our weather will continue to be a bit of a roller-coaster.