Elsewhere in Weather News: October 11th, 2014

Two Dangerous Storms Spin Up

Notable activity has expanded from the tropical waters of the Western Pacific into the Bay of Bengal over the past week. We mentioned in last week’s EIWN that typhoon Vongfong could be a threat to Japan sometime this week – this has since become a reality. Formerly known as super typhoon Vongfong, typhoon Vongfong took aim at the Japanese island of Okinawa early this morning. Packing sustained winds of 140km/h which gusted to over 200km/h, the storm caused power outages to 27,000 residents and some locations on the island reported over 200mm of rain.

News agencies in the region report 20 injuries as of Saturday morning but thankfully no deaths from the storm. Vongfong is expected to curve northeast and slowly transition to an extratropical storm, but not before it brings significant rainfall to Japan’s main islands. This could be bad news, especially for the mountainous regions, as this is the second storm to hit Japan in the span of a week. With already saturated ground, these regions are more prone to landslides.

Cyclone Hudhud Develops

The second tropical storm is cyclone Hudhud which spun up only a few days ago. With sea surface temperatures approaching the 30°C mark in the Bay of Bengal, Hudhud quickly became a “very severe cyclonic storm” as classified by India’s Meteorological Department. As of Saturday morning Hudhud was 200 kilometres offshore of India with sustained winds of 205km/h.

Visakhapatnam radar image of cyclone Hudhud Saturday morning. Outer bands are already affecting India's coast and the eye is visible offshore. (Source: India Met Department)
Visakhapatnam radar image of cyclone Hudhud Saturday morning. Outer bands are already affecting India’s coast and the eye is visible offshore. (Source: India Met Department)

The evacuation of 150,000 people was underway along the coast because a significant storm surge of up to 1.8 metres is expected along the coast. Hudhud is forecast to make landfall overnight tonight just southwest of Visakhapatnam and continue inland, where it will die off, but not before dumping significant amounts of rain. The hardest hit areas can expect over 250mm of rain.

Elsewhere in Weather News: October 4th, 2014

Strong Typhoon Expected to Clip Japan

A strong typhoon dubbed Phanfone spun up in the Northwest Pacific this past week and has significantly strengthened since then. Phanfone, which is currently a strong typhoon bearing winds of 195km/h with a central pressure of 935mb is unlikely to make a direct landfall on the main islands of Japan, unless its tracks shifts slightly north. Even if it does not make landfall it is still expected to bring significant severe weather to the region, including Tokyo. The typhoon which is currently heading directly north is expected to start curving northwest today, helped by prevailing winds. As this happens gradual weakening is expected, however, it’s forecast that at its closest point to Tokyo on Sunday the storm will still have sustained winds of 120km/h, likely bringing tropical storm force winds to Tokyo. These winds, combined with the storm surge and heavy rainfall are likely to cause damage, especially in the mountainous regions that are prone to landslides. In preparation for this storm the Japan Meteorological Agency has issued storm surge advisories and high wave warnings for several coastal communities.

IR image of typhoon Phanfone on Friday night at 05z with intensity/track overlaid. (Source: CIMSS)
IR image of Phanfone on Friday night at 05z with intensity/track overlaid. (Source: CIMSS)

Another tropical disturbance that spun up only a few days ago in the Pacific is also the focus of attention this week, even though is not expected to make landfall on any regions any time soon. Vongfong is only a tropical storm currently, but is organizing and is under fairly good conditions for typhoon strengthening. China, Japan and possibly Taiwan will have to keep an eye on this storm by the end of next week but it is still very early to focus in on any specifics for this storm. The storm is expected to make its way through Guam however, as a typhoon, late this weekend.

Elsewhere in Weather News: September 20th, 2014

Odile Makes Landfall

The active Eastern Pacific hurricane season that was discussed in the EIWN post a few weeks ago continues to produce – another major hurricane was spun up this week. This time it was hurricane Odile, a category four at its maximum strength, which bottomed out at a pressure of 922mb. This hurricane, however, headed towards the Baja Peninsula and made landfall there as a category three hurricane on Sunday night.

Odile just as it was making landfall on the tip of the Baja Peninsula. (Source: NOAA)
Odile just as it was making landfall on the tip of the Baja Peninsula. (Source: NOAA)

Cabo San Lucas was one of the resorts hardest hit as Odile brought winds of 205km/h upon landfall. As expected with a hurricane of this magnitude, significant damage was done to infrastructure as well as three deaths were reported. About 240,000 residents lost power during the event prompting school closures and flight cancellations; causing major headaches to travellers in the popular tourist destination. Odile eventually weakened into a tropical storm as it made its way further north, interacting with terrain and beginning to get torn apart by shear. Even though Odile had weakened substantially, the storm was not done causing trouble to people in the US Southwest, bringing with it its plume of tropical moisture. Reports of flooded houses and washed out roads were coming out of southern New Mexico and Arizona on Thursday and Friday where as much as 100mm fell in some towns (Sept. average rainfall is around 30-50mm in the region). Streams quickly became rivers and one resident perished as he got swept away by the floodwaters. It’s not all bad news to the US Southwest though, as drought continues to improve in the region.

Damage at the Los Cabos Airport. (Source: Reuters via Dailymail)
Damage at the Los Cabos Airport. (Source: Reuters via Dailymail)

There’s already another storm; Polo, churning in the East Pacific but it is not expected to take the same path as Odile did. No other tropical storms are expected to impact the Baja Peninsula in the near future.

Elsewhere in Weather News: September 13th, 2014

Severe Flooding in Northern India and Pakistan

Flooding has been the story for both last weekend and this week as heavy monsoonal rains fell across northern India and Pakistan, having its strongest impact in the Kashmir, Jammu provinces and Jhang district. In this case, the heavy monsoonal rains were caused by very moist air advecting in from the Bay of Bengal due to a low pressure system located in northern India. This moist air was then lifted as it interacted with the rugged terrain of northern India and fell as heavy rain. Satellite estimates show that over 350mm fell in the hardest hit areas in a 7 day period, resulting in rivers overflowing their banks and putting residents at risk.

Satellite image of the low pressure system over northern India; combined with orographic lift, it made for heavy rain in the region. Taken on September 5th. (Source: NASA via Wunderground)
Satellite image of the low pressure system over northern India; combined with orographic lift, it made for heavy rain in the region. Taken on September 5th. (Source: NASA via Wunderground)

According to news outlets, 5,000 rescues had to be executed in the flooded region as people scrambled to higher ground. When floodwaters will have receded damages will be significant; about 980 villages in the region have seen flooding problems. On Friday night it was reported that 461 people have died due to the flooding with 600 more injured. Some 60,000 residents continue to evacuate to higher ground, not only in concern of flooding waters but also infrastructure being washed out leading to significant transportation problems for food and clean water. In developing countries the residents are typically affected by not only the initial disaster, but also the aftermath of the disaster. This is the case here as water borne diseases are of great concern to officials and will be a true threat to some residents as floodwaters recede. It’s estimated that over one million people have already been affected by this disaster.

In other news several tropical disturbances have formed in the Atlantic, including a tropical storm in the mid-Atlantic. These should be watched in the next few days, however, there is fairly strong shear in the region currently which is causing problems for these storms to develop further.