October Arrives With More Pleasant Weather

A mild Pacific flow aloft will bring pleasant late-summer weather for the beginning of October in southern Manitoba.

It’s a quiet few days ahead for Winnipeg and area as a benign weather pattern is established. The region will see seasonably mild conditions with highs in the low 20s through the weekend and lows in the mid- to upper single digits. There will be plenty of sunshine and winds will stay fairly light.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday October 2, 2021
October will start off with very pleasant conditions across southern Manitoba.

And…that’s about it. It’s a beautiful few days ahead for the region.

Long Range Outlook

The warm weather will continue into next week as another upper ridge builds into the region. While its too early to say at this point, the high-amplitude upper flow may bring some more smoke into the region such as was seen yesterday. There’s also the potential for flare-ups of regional fires as the warm and dry conditions continue for the coming week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 15 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 3 °C.

Another Hot Day; Seasonably Warm Temperatures Continue

Summer-like weather will persist through the end of the week, sending September 2021 off with beautiful conditions.

A potent upper-level ridge will bring another hot day to southern Manitoba today. Temperatures will climb up to the 30 °C mark again today with breezy southerly winds near 30 gusting 50 km/h. The region will see plenty of sunshine today despite a bit of cloud building in through the day.

It will be a mild night with a low near 15 °C as the winds ease. A cold front will gradually slide across the Red River Valley overnight, bringing a chance of showers or thunderstorms to the region with it. Most of the activity will likely stay over the western portion of the valley, but a few showers may push eastwards early Thursday. By Thursday morning, Winnipeg will see mostly cloudy skies with a light northwest wind.

HRRR Simulated Reflectivity valid 04Z Thursday September 30, 2021
Scattered showers and/or thunderstorms will lift northwards through the western Red River Valley along an advancing cold front on Wednesday evening.

The system bringing the unsettled conditions will be tracking eastwards slowly on Thursday, bringing mainly cloudy skies to the region. There will be just a slight chance of an isolated shower or two through the day. Temperatures will be cooler but still well above seasonal averages with a high near 20 °C. The cloud cover should break up on Thursday night as temperatures head to a low near 8 °C.

A ridge of high pressure will bring sun back to the region on Friday. Winnipeg will see light northerly winds and a high near 22 °C. Temperatures will dip to a low near 6 °C on Friday night under mainly clear skies.

Long Range Outlook

The region will see beautiful weather this weekend with highs in the low 20s, partly cloudy skies, and light winds. Lows will sit in the upper single digits. The mild weather will continue into next week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 15 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 4 °C.

Scorching Summer Weather Returns

Temperatures in Winnipeg will soar through the first half of the week as summer returns in full force.

A potent upper-level ridge building over the region will bring temperatures well above seasonal values to wrap up September in southern Manitoba. With plenty of sunshine, temperatures will climb from the mid-20s today to near 30 °C on both Tuesday and Wednesday. Rather unusual for late season heat will be that it won’t be overly windy. The city will see southerly winds up to 30 gusting 50 km/h this afternoon that ease overnight, lighter southeast winds for Tuesday, then southerlies back up to 30 gusting 50 km/h on Wednesday.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Tuesday September 28, 2021
Temperatures will climb into the 30s across much of southern Saskatchewan and Manitoba on Tuesday.

A cold front pushing towards the region on Wednesday will bring increasing cloudiness to the city through the day. Skies will stay mostly cloudy overnight with a good chance of showers moving through the region overnight into Thursday morning.

Lows over the coming nights will vary from the low teens to upper teens.

Long Range Outlook

While temperatures will cool behind the cold front, above-seasonal warmth will stay right through into next week. Forecasts show the upper ridge pattern breaking down in the second half of next week, bringing a return to more seasonal temperatures and unsettled conditions.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 15 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 4 °C.

Warmth Returns on the Weekend

Winnipeg will return to cooler seasonal temperatures today, but more warmth will build back in this weekend.

The city will see breezy northwest winds up to 30 gusting 50 km/h today. These winds are ushering in a cooler air mass behind a cold front that passed through the area yesterday evening. As a result, daytime highs will be noticeably cooler at around 15 °C. The wind will ease this evening, then temperatures will dip to a low near 4 °C.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Sunday September 26, 2021
Another surge of late-summer heat will begin to push eastwards across the Prairies this weekend.

Heading into the weekend, an upper ridge will begin to build across the Prairies. This will start to bring warmer temperatures back to the region. Winnipeg will light winds at of 15–25 km/h both days as highs climb back into the low 20s. Winnipeg will see some morning cloud tomorrow breaking up to mixed skies for the afternoon, while Sunday brings plenty of sunshine to the area. Temperatures will head to low near 10 °C both nights this weekend.

Long Range Outlook

Next week will bring even more heat back to the region with daytime highs climbing into the upper 20s. The chance for showers will increase for the second half of the week as highs cool to the low 20s in a more unsettled pattern.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 16 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 4 °C.