Cool, Cloudy Weather Continues

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Winnipeg will continue to see seasonably cool conditions with skies staying on the cloudier side.

The city will see a chance for some early morning light snow as the disturbance that brought snow to the region yesterday pushes off to the east. After that, Winnipeg will see mostly cloudy skies with a few afternoon sunny breaks possible. Temperatures will climb to a high near +2 °C with light west-northwest winds. Skies will cloud back over tonight as another disturbance movs towards the region. Temperatures will head to a low near -5 °C.

Thursday will bring cloudy skies to the city with a chance of light snow. Snow will push into the province from North Dakota as the day progresses; it may reach Winnipeg as far north as Winnipeg, but will mainly impact areas south and southeast. Temperatures will reach a high near +1 °C and winds will pick up out of the north into the 20–30 km/h range.

As those northerly winds pick up, they will support the development of more lake-effect snow from the Manitoba Lakes. The winds are forecast to shift northwesterly overnight, which will rotate the Lake Manitoba band towards Winnipeg. The city will see a chance of flurries overnight as temperatures dip to -5 °C again.

RDPS Forecast 24 hr. Snowfall Totals valid 12Z Friday October 23, 2020
Snow will graze across southern Manitoba on Thursday, followed by the development of more lake-effect flurries.

The cloud cover will finally break up on Friday, but persistent cloud cover form Lake Manitoba will keep skies mixed. The city will continue to see a chance of flurries as west-northwest winds of 20–30 km/h continue to bring a chance of flurries from Lake Manitoba. Temperatures will be a tad cooler with a high near +1 °C. The winds will turn westerly and ease on Friday evening with clearing skies. As long as those skies clear, then temperatures will head to a low near -12 °C.

Long Range Outlook

The weekend will bring a fair amount of sunshine with highs near the freezing mark and overnight lows in the -5 to -10 °C range. In fact…it’s much more of the same right through next week. Highs of -2 to 0 °C and overnight lows in the -5 to -10 °C range with variable cloudiness.

The only thing that could put a wrench in plans is if the lake-effect snow continues off Lake Manitoba into the weekend. If so, it won’t affect temperatures too much but the city could end up seeing some cloudy periods with a chance of light snow as well.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 8 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -2 °C.

Continuing Cool With Some Light Snow

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Seasonably cool temperatures will continue in Winnipeg through the week with some light snow likely on Tuesday.

A persistent vortex over Hudson Bay continues to push Arctic air southwards across the Prairies. With little forecasted change in the long-wave pattern, below-normal temperatures will be the norm right into next week. Winnipeg will see highs climb just above freezing over the coming few days with overnight lows varying between around -3 or -4 °C and near -10 °C.

Today will bring partly cloudy skies to Winnipeg with a small chance of light snow from passing lake-effect clouds. Skies should clear out tonight as a ridge moves through, allowing temperatures to drop to a low close to -10 °C.

On Tuesday, a disturbance moving into the region will spread cloud into Winnipeg through the day. Light snow will spread through the province, reaching Winnipeg sometime mid- to late-afternoon. The city should see light snow through the night with a few centimetres accumulation possible.

24 hr. Forecast Snowfall Accumulation at 10:1 SLR valid 15Z Wednesday October 21, 2020
Light snow will spread across southern Manitoba on Tuesday into Wednesday.

The snow will ease up on Wednesday morning, followed by a few sunny breaks through the day.

Long Range Outlook

The city will continue to see variable cloudiness with the occasional chance for some passing light snow. With little change to the long-wave pattern expected in the coming week, don’t expect any significant changes in our day to day weather either.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 9 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -2 °C.

Colder Weather Continues with Chance of Light Snow

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Winnipeg will continue to see cool temperatures through the weekend, but cloudier conditions will bring a chance of light snow to the city.

Clouds streaming southeastwards off Lake Manitoba will bring Winnipeg mixed to mostly cloudy skies to start the day. These bands of lake-effect cloud will also likely produce a bit of light snow, but other than a dusting that makes the roads a little wet. The snow should taper off midday as a ridge of high pressure moves into the region and the northwest winds begin to ease. A bit of sun is likely this afternoon, but temperatures will stay cool with a high near +2 °C.

Tonight, the region will see increasing cloud cover as a low pressure system moves into the Dakotas. This system will bring some light snow to areas along the international border, but Winnipeg should just see some cloud. Temperatures will dip to a low near -5 °C.

Saturday will start with cloudy conditions across the region with temperatures climbing to a high near +2 °C. As the low pushes eastwards out of the Dakotas, northwest winds will strengthen across the region into the 30–40 km/h range. This will result in bands of lake-effect snow redeveloping sometime later in the day into the evening. Winnipeg will likely see cloud and snow from Lake Manitoba by the evening hours and persisting through the night. Winnipeg shouldn’t see much more than a dusting of snow, but areas northwest of the city could see 1–4 cm by Sunday morning. Temperatures will dip to -5 °C on Saturday night with winds easing.

3km NAM Forecast Precipitation Type/Intensity valid 03Z Sunday October 18, 2020
Flurries from Lake Manitoba will move into Winnipeg by Saturday evening.

Winnipeg will continue to see bands of lake-effect cloud and intermittent light snow on Sunday. Temperatures will climb to a high near +2 °C with west-northwest winds in the 20–30 km/h range. Sunday night should bring partly cloudy skies to the region with temperatures heading to a low near -7 °C.

Long Range Outlook

Long-range forecasts continue to show cool weather for Winnipeg. Daytime highs may moderate into the mid-single digits next Tuesday and Wednesday, but then cooler air pushes back into the region with highs falling to the freezing mark by next Saturday. The region will likely see cloudier conditions next week with the occasional chance of light snow.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 10 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 0 °C.

Colder Conditions Arrive

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Today marks the start of an extended period of seasonably cold conditions for Winnipeg.

A low pressure system skirting along the International border will bring cloudy conditions to the Red River Valley today. It will spread an area of rain across the region with up to 10 mm possible along the border. Amounts will quickly diminish northwards, though, with just a bit of light rain likely this morning in Winnipeg. Behind this low, a brisk northerly wind near 30 gusting 50 km/h will develop and usher in a much cooler air mass. Temperatures will only reach around 8 °C today, already several degrees below the seasonal average of 11 °C. The cloud cover will break up a bit tonight as the winds gradually ease. The city will see a low near -3 °C. Hard freezes will be common from here out.

From Thursday forwards, the region will be under a northwest flow aloft on the back side of a persistent vortex over Hudson Bay. This will result in a continued feed of cold Arctic air southwards into the region. Thursday and Friday will bring daytime highs successively colder at +4 and +2 °C respectively. Overnight lows should hover in the mid-minus single digits. Both Thursday and Friday will bring partly cloudy skies to the city and winds will gradually ease from around 30–40 km/h on Thursday to around 20 km/h on Friday. Other than the chance for some lake-effect rain showers or snow in the lee of the lakes — more likely Lake Winnipeg than Manitoba — conditions should stay dry.

Long Range Outlook

The long-range outlook shows nothing but a big vortex entrenched over Hudson Bay. As a result, it also shows nothing but seasonably cold weather for Manitoba. Forecasts show daytime highs locked at the low single digits and overnight lows hovering within a couple degrees of -5 °C.

NAEFS 8-14 Day Temperature Anomaly Forecast — Valid October 21-28, 2020
A stationary vortex over Hudson Bay will bring a prolonged period of cool temperatures to Manitoba. This NAEFS temperature outlook shows a high probability of seasonably cold weather over the province persisting into next week.

The cooler weather towards this coming weekend may end up producing lake-effect snow in the lee of Lake Manitoba in addition to Lake Winnipeg, particularly Friday night into Saturday.

Temperatures may begin to moderate towards seasonal values slightly next weekend (October 24–25), but confidence is low right now.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 11 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 0 °C.