Tag: Above-Normal Temperatures

Warm Week Ahead For Winnipeg To Bring A Wintery Mix

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Early-season winter warmth will continue in Winnipeg, bringing pleasant conditions along with a mid-week wintery mix.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Tuesday November 30, 2021
More early-winter warmth will spread across the southern Prairies this week.

A series of low pressure systems will cross the Prairies this week, spreading more mild air into the region. As a result, Winnipeg will continue to see seasonably warm this week. Daytime highs will sit in the -5 to 0 °C range, but Wednesday will bring temperatures above zero into the low to mid-single digits. Lows will also follow suit, staying several well above the seasonal normals.

The first low pressure system will begin moving into Alberta later today, pushing a warm front eastwards into southern Manitoba. This will spread an area of light snow into western Manitoba this afternoon that will move into the Red River Valley this evening. This system will produce a couple centimetres of snow as it moves through the region.

Alongside this, though, will come another risk of freezing rain. The risk will begin Tuesday afternoon in western and southwestern Manitoba. It will then spread into the Red River Valley overnight into Wednesday morning. The greatest threat for ice accumulation is over southwestern Manitoba, but slippery conditions will be possible throughout the risk area.

NAM Total Accumulated Freezing Rain Forecast valid 18Z Wednesday December 1, 2021
Although forecast models are outlining two areas of freezing rain on Tuesday/Wednesday, the risk will extend across much of southern and southwestern Manitoba.

Sunshine will be a relatively rare commodity over the coming week. Today will start off with plenty of sun, but once the cloud arrives later in the day, it’ll stick around through Thursday. A few sunny breaks are possible then, but no widespread clearing trend is likely until the end of the week.

Winds will be variable through the first half of the week, but a cold front passing through the region on Wednesday evening will usher in northwesterly winds near 40 km/h that should ease to light by Thursday morning.

A few more flurries will be possible Thursday night into Friday as another low pressure system crosses the province.

Long Range Outlook

Cooler air will filter into the region this weekend and send daytime highs into the -5 to -10 °C range. This shift in temperatures is forecast to persist into next week with near-seasonal overnight lows. Some more light snow is possible Saturday evening into Sunday, then again on Monday night.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -6 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -15 °C.

Shaking Off the Arctic Chill

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The Arctic air seen across southern Manitoba on Thursday is already long-gone, replaced by a push of Pacific air that will bring milder weather back to the region.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Friday November 26, 2021
Milder temperatures will move into Manitoba today with highs climbing above the freezing mark over the southwest corner of the province.

The cold trough that brought lows in the -20s to southern Manitoba on Thursday morning has already moved well off to the east. Taking its place is a much milder westerly flow that will push Pacific air across the Prairies. This will push highs back up into the [seasonably mild] -5 to 0 °C range across southern Manitoba over the next few days.

Overnight lows will also settle to warmer values, generally in the -5 to -10 °C range.

RDPS Total Accumulated Freezing Rain valid 12Z Saturday November 27, 2021
Some patchy light freezing rain is possible across portions of southern Manitoba on Friday night.

The arrival of warmer temperatures will also bring more cloud back into the region. A trough moving across the province will bring cloudy skies later today that will stick around for the night. A few flurries or even some patchy freezing rain is possible across southern Manitoba tonight ahead of a weak cold front that moving southeastwards. Skies will clear out behind the front on Saturday with blustery northwest winds.

A weak Arctic ridge will move into Manitoba on Saturday night, bringing cooler temperatures back to the region. Lows may dip below -10 °C in Winnipeg, but the coldest temperatures will be over western Manitoba. Overnight lows in the -15 to -20 °C range will be possible in that region.

RDPS 10m Wind Forecast valid 21Z Saturday November 27, 2021
Blustery northwest winds will develop over southern Manitoba on Saturday as a weak high builds into the region.

More Pacific air will surge back across the Prairies on Sunday, bringing another push of cloud to the region. A few flurries will be possible Sunday evening as a warm front advances eastwards across southern Mantioba.

Long Range Outlook

Little change to the weather pattern is in store next week. Generally mild conditions will continue with the occasional surge of cooler air bringing brief returns to seasonal temperatures. Southern Manitoba should see sunshine to start the week, but cloudier conditions are forecast for the latter half of the week.

A change in the weather pattern may come at the end of next week. Several weather models show indications of an Alberta Clipper system moving through the eastern Prairies on Friday.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -5 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -13 °C.

Temperatures Set to Soar This Weekend

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Winnipeg will see daytime highs climb over 10 °C above seasonal normals this weekend as a surge of Pacific warmth washes over the region.

Winnipeg will see very mild November weather over the next few days. While some of the mild air is in place already, today will be a semi-typical “transition day” for the Red River Valley. Temperatures will climb to around 10 °C in the city today with breezy southerly winds near 30 gusting 50 km/h. Cloud cover should increase today, beginning with partly cloudy skies this morning giving way to mixed to mostly cloudy skies this afternoon.

The southerly winds will ease and shift westerly this evening as a trough moves through the area. Skies should clear out behind it as temperatures dip to a low near +4 °C.

With a westerly flow in place for the weekend, even warmer daytime highs will move into the region. The region will see mainly sunny skies with light west-southwest winds. The high in Winnipeg will reach 13 or 14 °C, making for an absolutely beautiful early November day. Temperatures will fall to a low near +1 °C with partly cloudy skies on Saturday night.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday November 6, 2021
Very mild early November temperatures will spread across the southern Prairies this weekend.

More pleasant weather is on the way Sunday with highs back up into the low teens. Skies should be partly cloudy again with light winds. Lows will dip down again to around +1 °C.

Long Range Outlook

The beautiful weather will continue into the start of next week with highs near 10 °C on Monday and Tuesday. The overall pattern will begin to change mid-week as cooler air starts pushing southwards. Temperatures will slide back towards seasonal values with unsettled conditions through the second half of the week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 2 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -6 °C.

Warmth Continues Until Friday, Then Unsettled

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Winnipeg will see another couple days of beautiful warm weather before a large-scale pattern change brings cooler and unsettled weather back to the region.

The upper ridge that brought highs close to the 30 °C mark yesterday will continue to bring seasonably hot conditions for a couple more days. Winnipeg will see breezy southerly winds near 30 gusting 50 km/h over the next couple days as temperatures climb to highs in the upper 20s. Solidly in the warm air, Winnipeg will see another mild low near 16 °C tonight, but temperatures will dip a tad cooler on Thursday night as the warm air begins to move off to the east. The city will see sunny skies today while Thursday will start sunny with cloud moving in through the afternoon.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 06Z Friday October 8, 2021
A cold front will push across southern Manitoba on Thursday night.

On Friday, an upper trough moving in from the west coast will push a cold front into southern Manitoba. At the same time, a shortwave will lift out of the Dakotas and will support an area of rain that will move to the northeast. These two things combined will bring cooler, cloudier weather to Winnipeg as winds shift to the north. The city will see a high near 18 °C on Friday with a good chance of rain through the day. The chance for a bit more rain will continue on Friday night as temperatures dip to a low near 12 °C.

Long Range Outlook

Friday marks the beginning of a shift to a much more unsettled pattern that will persist through the weekend and into next week. More rain is likely this weekend with the potential for some more organized accumulations across the region. Conditions will settle with mild temperatures to start next week, then another large storm system is forecast to move in mid-week, bringing the potential for a substantial rainfall and a return to seasonal temperatures.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 13 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 2 °C.