Pleasant Fall Weekend Ahead

It will be a pleasant weekend for the Winnipeg region with plenty of sun and near-seasonal temperatures.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast  valid 21Z Saturday October 26, 2024
Pleasant late-fall temperatures will settle over southern Manitoba this weekend.

The week will end with settled conditions as an area of high pressure moves across the province. Northwesterly winds of 20 to 30 km/h will ease tonight as the ridge builds in, then gradually shift southerly and then easterly over the following 24 hours. Temperatures will climb to a high near 10 °C both today and Saturday, but tonight will be colder than Saturday night. Expect a low closer to -5 °C tonight and dipping just below freezing on Saturday night.

Both days should bring plenty of sun to the region, but some warmer air beginning to push towards the region on Saturday will bring mixed skies into the afternoon.

On Sunday, a more organized southerly flow will develop over the region in response to a low developing in Alberta. This will likely result in southeasterly winds that pick up into the 20–30 km/h range by evening and then strengthen into the night. It will be warmer on Sunday with a high in the low teens and a low on Sunday night that stays in the 5–10 °C range. Skies will likely be a mix of sun and cloud.

Long Range Outlook

Next week looks to start off warm with a high in the mid-teens under sunny skies on Monday. After that, seasonal temperatures will filter back into the region for the rest of the week. No precipitation is in the forecast until close to Halloween.

For Halloween, guidance largely continues to suggest a pleasant day overall with a high in the mid-single digits that drops close to freezing for the evening. Still looking like a solid improvement from what the region saw last year!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 7 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -3 °C.

Seasonably Warm Temperatures Returning Later This Week

The Winnipeg area will see one more cool fall day before warmer weather begins to push back into the region again.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday October 17, 2024
An upper ridge will spread warmer temperatures back into southern Manitoba this week.

A stubborn high pressure system will keep cooler temperatures in place across southern Manitoba today. After a frosty start to the day, winds will pick up out of the south into the 20 to 30 km/h range today with daytime highs around the 10 °C mark this afternoon. Things will begin to change tonight, though, as an upper low to our east begins to move off and an upper ridge starts to build across the Prairies. With warmer temperatures beginning to spread into the southern Prairies, temperatures will only dip into the mid-single digits tonight. Winds will persist out of the south around 20 km/h.

The Winnipeg area will have mainly sunny skies for much of the rest of the week. As the upper ridge builds in, daytime highs will climb close to 20 °C with southeasterly winds gradually strengthening up to 40 gusting 60 km/h for Thursday. Overnight lows will climb towards the upper single digits.

Long Range Outlook

A low pressure system will push through the province on Friday, bringing a chance of showers that will be highest east of Winnipeg and cooler temperatures. Daytime highs will dip back into the low teens for Friday and Saturday, the former bringing cloudier skies to the area while the latter is much sunnier. Another push of warmer weather is possible for Sunday and/or Monday, then the upper pattern begins to change.

Cooler temperatures and a chance of rain is possible in the first half of next week, returning the region back to seasonal temperatures.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 10 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 0 °C.

Warm Early Fall Weather Continues Through the Weekend

Warm and sunny weather will remain in place across southern Manitoba this weekend.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Sunday September 29, 2024
A low pressure system moving into Saskatchewan will bring very warm weather to southern Manitoba on Sunday.

A southwesterly flow aloft will sit over the southern Prairies this weekend and continue to push warm air into the region. With the storm track shunted northwards of the region, Winnipeg and area will see sunny skies that last right through the weekend.

Daytime highs will climb from the low 20s today into the mid- to upper-20s this weekend. Overnight lows will hover around 10 °C tonight and tomorrow, but a push of warmer air on Sunday night will keep lows warmer in the mid-teens.

Winds today will be light, eventually picking up out of the south into the 15 to 25 km/h range this afternoon. A weak high pressure system moving through on Saturday will bring light northerly winds to the region. On Sunday, the wind will pick up quite a bit with the push of warmer air moving into the region. Southerly winds will strengthen as high as 50 gusting 70 km/h midday and persist through much of the night before beginning to ease.

All in all, aside from the winds on Sunday, it looks like it’s going to be a beautiful few days ahead.

Long Range Outlook

A low pressure system will cross the province on Monday, bringing a significant pattern change to southern Manitoba. This system will bring showers to the region as a cold front sweeps across the province. In its wake, cooler weather will slump southwards out of the Arctic. This will result in breezy northwest winds, daytime highs slumping into the 10 to 15 °C range, and the chance of some lake-effect showers through the first half of the week.

While there may be a couple blips of warmer weather later in the week, it looks like this marks a shift back towards near-seasonal temperatures for the region for a while.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 15 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 4 °C.

Warmer Weather Returns to Southern Manitoba

An upper ridge building into the Prairies will send high temperatures back into the mid-20s across southern Manitoba.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday September 26, 2024
An upper ridge will bring warm weather back to southern Manitoba this week.

The main weather-maker through the rest of the week will be an upper high that will move from the Pacific coast east towards the American Plains. It will build a strong upper ridge into the Prairies and push temperatures well above seasonal norms.

For Winnipeg, this trend will start with clearing skies today as temperatures climb to a high in the low 20s. For Wednesday and Thursday, sunny skies will blanket the region with highs climbing into the mid-20s. The winds will only be notable on Thursday where they will pick up out of the south into the 20 to 30 km/h range.

Overnight lows will range from the low to mid-teens over the next few days.

Long Range Outlook

The upper ridge will linger over Manitoba as it begins to break down near week’s end. This will mean mainly sunny conditions should continue into the weekend with daytime highs in the low to mid-20s.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 16 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 4 °C.