Tag: Above-Normal Temperatures

Beautiful Weekend Ahead for Winnipeg

Brad Leave a comment

A push of warm air will bring beautiful spring weather to southern Manitoba this weekend.

3km NAM simulated RADAR reflectivity valid 04Z Saturday April 13, 2024
Elevated showers with the risk of a thundershower are possible overnight Friday across southern Manitoba.

A low pressure system lifting from northern Alberta into the southern Arctic will drag a warm front across the southern Prairies. This will spread seasonably mild temperatures into the province for the weekend.

For today, though, a ridge of high pressure over the province will bring partly cloudy skies with a high near 10 °C.

The warm front will push east across Saskatchewan today, pushing into southern Manitoba into Saturday morning. This will bring cloud cover into the region and keep overnight lows mild near +5 °C. As this warm front tracks into Manitoba, there may be enough mid-level instability for scattered showers or thunderstorms overnight into Saturday morning.

Once the morning cloud clears out, Saturday will be a pleasant day across southern Manitoba with partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the upper teens or low 20s.

Temperatures will dip to around 5 °C again on Saturday night.

A ridge of high pressure that moves into the region on Sunday will bring sunny skies and a high in the upper teens.

Long Range Outlook

Next week will bring a low pressure complex to the Canadian Prairies and American Plains, driven by a potent Colorado Low. This system will bring showers, thunderstorms, and snow to various parts of the southern Prairies beginning on Monday and lasting through Thursday.

The heaviest snow will likely spread from central Saskatchewan into central Manitoba where anywhere from 40 to 60 cm is possible. To the south of this, many areas will see varying amounts of a mix of precipitation. It will trend more towards snow in Saskatchewan while southern Manitoba sees a greater mix of rain and snow.

Winnipeg is looking to be tucked away in a comparatively warm pocket that includes the Red River Valley and southeastern Manitoba. Current outlooks would suggest that this area mainly sees a few waves of rain and drizzle, with snow holding off until lighter wrap-around snow moves through as the system leaves the region.

This will be a complex system with evolving forecasts over the coming days. You can check the latest forecasts on the Meteorological Service of Canada’s website.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 9 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -3 °C.

Mild With a Chance of Showers

Brad Leave a comment

The warm spring weather continue in Winnipeg this week, but a passing low pressure system on Wednesday will bring a chance of showers to the region.

ECMWF 24hr. Precipitation Accumulation Forecast valid 18Z April 11, 2024
Rain showers are possible across southern Manitoba from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday night.

Temperatures will stay warm in Winnipeg through the rest of the week as more mild Pacific air spills across the southern Prairies. Daytime highs will hover in the low to mid-teens this week with lows in the 0 to +5 °C range.

While today will be mainly sunny, clouds will move in tonight as a low pressure system moves into southern Manitoba from central Saskatchewan. This system will support an area of showers that develops on Wednesday afternoon near the Saskatchewan/Manitoba border that drifts southeast into the evening. The chance of showers will last through the night, then taper off on Thursday morning as the low moves into Ontario.

Behind the low on Thursday, cloud cover will slowly break up as moderate northwest winds develop. By the afternoon, Winnipeg should see clearing skies with northwesterlies into the 30 to 40 km/h range. A ridge of high pressure will move in on Thursday night, bringing clear skies and light winds.

On Friday, the ridge will depart to the east and another low pressure system will begin its trek across the Prairies. This will bring increasing southeast winds with sunny skies giving way to late day cloud. There will be a chance of showers on Friday night as a warm front moves across the province.

Long Range Outlook

Saturday will bring the warmest weather of the year thus far to the Winnipeg area. With the warm front through and no snow cover left, daytime highs should be able to climb into the upper teens or low 20s with west-southwest winds. There could be a chance of a shower on Saturday evening as a cold front swings through with the passage of a low pressure system.

Sunday will bring cooler, but still mild, weather to the region. Daytime highs should sit in the mid-teens with breezy northwest winds and mixed skies.

Heading into next week, many forecast models suggest that a potent Colorado Low will develop and move towards the province. It’s too early to say anything definitive at this point, but this system could bring a broad swath of notable rain and/or snow to much of the eastern Prairies as it moves through. This storm could bring dangerous winter storm conditions to parts of the eastern Prairies; at this point it looks like much of the worst of the storm will move through eastern Saskatchewan and western Manitoba, but we’ll be sure to keep an eye on it as it develops.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 8 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -4 °C.

Spring Warmth Moving In

Brad Leave a comment

Temperatures will warm into the teens this week as Spring warmth continues to build across the Prairies.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday April 4, 2024
Mild temperatures will build eastwards across the Prairies this week.

A lingering low pressure system will gradually clear out of the region today, but it will leave lingering cloud cover across the region. A few light rain showers or flurries are possible today as temperatures head to a high in the low single digits with northerly winds near 30 km/h. With a ridge of high pressure moving in tonight, the winds will drop off with clearing skies and a low near -5 °C.

A stagnant pattern will develop for the rest of the week, rooted by a low complex anchored over the American Rockies. Manitoba will be on the eastern edge of this system with warm air slowly edging eastwards as the high in the area inches eastwards.

The result will be many sunny or partly cloudy days for the rest of the week with daytime highs near 10 °C on Wednesday increasing into the 10 to 15 °C range for the rest of the week. Overnight lows will dip to around the freezing mark right through the end of the week.

Long Range Outlook

There will be little change for the weekend and the start of next week. Mild weather will continue across southern Manitoba with highs in the mid-teens and overnight lows in the 0 to 5 °C range. The next organized chance of rain doesn’t look like it will come until at least mid-week next week.

It appears that the last of winter will be melted away this week and the dry, dusty spring weather can commence! Time to get the shorts out?

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is +6 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -6 °C.

Mild Week Ahead With Above-Freezing Highs in Winnipeg

Brad Leave a comment

With daytime highs above freezing through the rest of the week, Winnipeg will see cloudier conditions develop as the snowpack across the region undergoes significant melt.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Wednesday March 13, 2024
Mild temperatures with daytime highs above freezing will be commonplace across the southern Prairies this week.

Warm Pacific air will sweep across the Prairies this week as upper ridging gradually dominates the upper air pattern over the coming days. As a result, Winnipeg will see daytime highs that climb above freezing throughout the work week.

It won’t all be sunshine though; a cold front dipped southwards overnight and another frontal boundary will slowly drop southwards through the province over the coming days. This will bring cloudier skies to the region with daytime highs in the +1 to +4°C range. Dew point values are expected to climb above freezing both today and tomorrow which will aid in the melting and erosion of the snow pack. Overnight lows will dip into the -5 to 0 °C range over the next several nights.

A weak disturbance will bring light snow to southwest Manitoba on Wednesday; while there may be a chance of flurries in Winnipeg, the system is likely to fall apart west of the Red River Valley.

As the melt continues through the week and the cloud lingers across the region, the chance of seeing fog patches or mist will increase. Northerly winds will pick up in the second half of the week which should help clear out any lingering moisture in the air.

Long Range Outlook

The next system of note will be a low pressure system dropping southeastwards through Manitoba on Friday. This system could bring a mix of rain and snow to the Red River Valley, though current indications are that it should pull enough warm air eastwards that most of the precipitation would be rain.

GDPS Precipitation Type and Rate Forecast valid 00Z Saturday March 16, 2024
A low pressure system moving through Manitoba on Friday will bring a mix of rain and snow to the province.

This system could bring rain amounts ranging from a trace to the 5–10 mm range across the Red River Valley. With a cold front swinging through on Friday night, it would leave behind cooler weather with a chance of flurries into the weekend.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -2 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -12 °C.