Pleasant Weather Continues For The Winnipeg Area

December will start with a continuation of the mild weather the region has seen through much of the second half of November. With variable cloudiness in the days ahead, Winnipeg’s highs will keep hovering close to 0 °C.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday December 2, 2023
Mild weather will once again spread eastwards into southern Manitoba for the weekend.

Today will start off with plenty of lingering cloud across the region; it’s part of a band that stretches from southern Manitoba northwest through Saskatchewan and marks roughly the position of the Arctic front draped through the Prairies. Skies will clear a bit later today as the front lifts to the northeast, leaving behind sunshine and light southwesterly winds as temperatures climb to around 0 °C.

Over the next few days, the region can expect variable cloudiness as milder Pacific air gradually pushes through the region. Daytime highs will hover close to freezing, perhaps a degree or two above, and overnight lows will sit in the -5 to -10 °C range. It’s unlikely that any snow or rain will fall in the city this weekend.

Saturday will be windier with southerlies up to around 30 km/h. Otherwise winds should stay light over the coming days.

Long Range Outlook

Next week will bring more mild weather as an upper ridge builds across the Prairies. Daytime highs in Winnipeg will vary from just below freezing to several degrees above. A sunnier start to the week will likely become cloudier as the warmer air moves into the region.

No notable precipitation is on the horizon. By the end of next week, the upper ridge should begin to collapse which could bring some snow to the Red River Valley to end the week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -7 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -15 °C.

Colder Weather to Push Into Southern Manitoba

There will be a shift in the weather across southern Manitoba this week as a cold front sweeps through the region and ushers in wintery temperatures. The cold snap will be short-lived, though, with a relatively quick return to near-seasonal conditions.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 00Z Thursday November 23, 2023
An Arctic high will begin pushing into the Prairies on Wednesday night and allow colder air to spill southwards through the region.

After a rather busy period over the last few weeks, it’s nice to be back with some time to forecast. I hope you’ve all been able to enjoy the pleasant extended warmth so far this November. The cold weather will come eventually, so it’s nice to keep it at bay as long as possible late into the year.

Heading through the rest of the week, the main weather system will be a clipper-like system that tracks across the southern Prairies on Tuesday night into Wednesday. Daytime highs will continue to sit around 0 °C or a bit warmer as northwest winds taper off and shift to light southerlies. Winnipeg will see plenty of sun today, but some cloud will move in tonight and stick around into Wednesday morning.

A cold front will sweep through the region later on Wednesday, ushering in moderate northwest winds of 30 to 40 km/h. Skies will clear out with the winds and temperatures will begin to drop. An Arctic high will slump into the region, bringing much cooler weather with it.

For the second half of the week, overnight lows will dip into the minus teens; likely into the -15 to -20 °C range Wednesday and Thursday night, and then moderating into the -10 to -15 °C range for Friday night. Daytime highs will also follow suit, dipping into the -5 to -10 °C range.

Long Range Outlook

A disturbance will move into the region on the weekend, bringing some cloud and a chance for some light snow as well. With the cloud will come temperatures that moderate back towards seasonal values, dipping slightly cooler at times.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -4 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -12 °C.

Cool Weather Continues in Winnipeg

A stagnant weather pattern will continue to funnel Arctic air southwards into the Prairies, continuing the cool temperatures across southern Manitoba.

ECMWF 2m Temperature Forecast valid 00Z Wednesday November 1, 2023.
It will be a cool night across southern Manitoba as a ridge of high pressure slides through the region.

A slow-moving vortex over Hudson Bay continues to support an outbreak of Arctic air across the eastern Prairies this week. Between this system and a high-amplitude upper ridge over the west coast, northerly winds through the region will be maintained for a few more days yet.

As a result, temperatures will stay stuck below seasonal values. Today will be the coldest day of the week, the cold air bolstered by the passage of a disturbance yesterday. The high in Winnipeg should reach around -6 °C with temperatures dipping to about -8 to -10 °C by the time kids start heading out to prowl the neighbourhoods for Halloween.

Heading through the rest of the work week, the city will see daytime highs close to the freezing mark and overnight lows dipping into the -5 to -10 °C range. Skies will be mixed over the coming days and winds, aside from a bit of a breeze this evening, will be light.

No notable snowfall is expected, but a few light flurries could be possible through the week.

Long Range Outlook

Little change is expected to the pattern beyond weakening slightly in the days ahead. This will mean that daytime highs should continue to hover at or just below freezing into next week along with overnight lows dipping below -5 °C.

There are some early indications that some snow may be possible early next week; we’ll continue to keep an eye on that system as it develops.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 4 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -5 °C.

Quiet Weather Week Ahead for Winnipeg

The weather will be fairly benign in Winnipeg and area this week as a ridge of high pressure dominates the weather pattern. With it in place, the city will see seasonal temperatures and variable cloudiness through the week ahead.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Tuesday October 10, 2023
A ridge of high pressure will keep temperatures seasonably cool in Manitoba this week.

It’s a short and sweet forecast week for southern Manitoba as an upper ridge evolves into a quasi-stationary upper high coupled to an upper low over Ontario. As a result, there will be little change in the weather this week as a supply of cool air continues in a flow wavring from northerly to easterly.

This will result in a week of relatively light winds and highs in the 10 to 15 °C range. Overnight lows will generally sit in the 0 to 5 °C range; while some frost/freezing is possible a few nights, last night was likely the coldest night this week.

Mixed to cloudy skies will develop on Wednesday and persist into the end of the week as a broadly northeast flow draws moisture from Hudson Bay southwestwards into the province. There will likely be little to no precipitation with it, but it will help make the days feel on the cooler side.

Long Range Outlook

There will be little change through the weekend into the start of next week as this stagnant pattern continues. Expect a prolonged stretch of near-seasonal temperatures and generally dry weather.

We hope ever had a great thanksgiving and that you have a chance to get outside and enjoy the pleasant fall weather this week!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 12 °C while the seasonal overnight low is +1 °C.