Tag: Benign Weather

Near-Seasonal Conditions Continue

Scott Leave a comment

This week will feature near seasonal temperatures and a brisk easterly flow as a stalled upper low sits to our south.

Today will be mainly cloudy, as a low pressure system to our south spreads clouds and showers over southern Manitoba. The main shower activity is expected to remain near the International border, though a few showers may creep a bit further north. Temperatures will be in the low teens with easterly winds at 20-30 km/h.

A low pressure system will sit to our south on Monday
A low pressure system will sit to our south on Monday

Tuesday will be much the same as Monday, with temperatures in the low to mid teens under mainly cloudy skies. No rain is expected in the Red River Valley, though some light showers may occur in western Manitoba. Winds will be easterly at 20 km/h.

Wednesday will likely see a bit more sun, with skies being a mixture of sun and cloud. High temperatures will be in the mid teens with winds out of the east at 30 km/h.

Long Range

The long range forecast suggests that we will see more above seasonal weather as we move into May. The remainder of April will likely see temperatures around seasonal values, with highs in the mid teens.

Finally, a warm-up!

Scott Leave a comment

We’ll finally see a warming trend this week after a nasty weekend of cold, windy, and snowy weather. The persistent trough over central North America will finally lift, allowing warmer air from the west to spill into southern Manitoba.

Today will be relatively nice compared to the nasty weather of the weekend. While temperatures will still be cooler than normal, today’s highs near zero will be pleasant since skies will be sunny and winds will be light. Not a perfect April day by any means, but definitely an improvement.

A warming trend will take hold beginning Tuesday
A warming trend will take hold beginning Tuesday

Tuesday’s weather will see us warm closer to seasonal values, with high temperatures in the mid to upper single digits across southern Manitoba. However, skies are expected to turn mainly cloudy as a weak upper disturbance passes through. Winds will also be gusty from the south at 30 km/h gusting to 50 km/h.

Wednesday is expected to be the first really nice day in awhile, as temperatures climb up around 10C under mainly sunny skies. Winds are also expected to remain light, making for a very pleasant day.

Long Range

There is still some uncertainty as to how warm it will be for the rest of this week. Some models put us close to 20C by Thursday, while others keep us down in the single digits. Time will tell exactly how warm we’ll get this week, but the general trend calls for warmer than normal conditions for the second half of the month.

Photo by @aweathermoment — Instagram

Uneventful Weekend Ahead for Winnipeg

Brad Leave a comment

After a stretch of weather that brought record breaking temperatures, record breaking dew points, and new daily rainfall records[1] before shifting into a weird weather pattern that brought moderate-to-heavy snow to much of southern Manitoba (with a rather beautiful aftermath, pictured above), the weather over the coming days will be downright dull as a benign pattern brings seasonal temperatures to Winnipeg.

In a rather nice change of pace, there isn’t too much to talk about regarding this weekend’s weather. Near-seasonal temperatures will be in place throughout the weekend with daytime highs hovering in the 0 to +2°C range while overnight lows hover between -6 to -8°C. Skies will progressively become more cloudy with a sunny day today, a few clouds tomorrow, and mixed skies on Sunday, but no precipitation is expected. Winds will remain quite calm throughout the weekend with the strongest winds on Sunday at just 20km/h or so.

Long Range: More Active Week Ahead

Next week is looking a little more active with a storm system expected to move through on Monday night & Tuesday. It’s too early to try and pin down too many specifics, but overall it appears that it will spread 5-10cm of snow across Southern Manitoba followed by some gusty northerly winds that may produce some local blowing snow.

GDPS 12hr QPF forecast valid 18Z March 22, 2016
The GDPS is showing a solution further south than other long-range models, pushing Tuesday’s system southwards into the United States

Towards the end of next weak it also appears that we may see another weak disturbance produce some light snow over the region.

Temperatures will be fairly consistent next week with daytime highs and overnight lows expected to be near-seasonal.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 0°C while the seasonal overnight low is -10°C.

  1. See our summary post for more details.  ↩

Last Major Arctic Outbreak of the Winter?

Scott Leave a comment

This week will start out with what could be our last arctic outbreak of the winter. Temperatures will remain below seasonal for most of this week, but it appears spring may not be too far away.

Today will be the coldest day of the week, as high temperatures will be stuck in the upper minus teens. An arctic high pressure system sliding down from the north will be responsible for this cold air mass. The outflow from this high will be breezy from the north-west, pushing wind chill values near the -30 mark for much of the day. On the brighter side, it will be sunny, so at least there’s that (pun fully intended by the way)!

An arctic high pressure system will dominate our weather early this week
An arctic high pressure system will dominate our weather early this week

Tuesday will see slightly warmer temperatures from today as highs climb into the low minus teens. Skies should remain mainly sunny with lighter westerly winds. The arctic high from Monday will still be hovering around the region, preventing warmer air from pushing in.

Wednesday will be much the same as Tuesday, with high temperatures in the low minus teens and mainly sunny skies. Another arctic high will push down from the north and sit off to our north-east. This should bring north-easterly winds to southern Manitoba, with speeds near 20 km/h.

Long Range

The long range forecast suggests that we should begin to see a shift towards above seasonal weather starting in about a week’s time. Models are beginning to strongly indicate that spring-like conditions will build into southern Manitoba sometime around March 5-8 and last into mid-month. Given the time of year, this warm-up should be accompanied by some decent snow-melt. There isn’t much snow to our south and west, so be prepared for a rapid transition to spring once this warmer pattern arrives!