Seasonal Temperatures With A Chance of Unsettled Weather

Seasonal temperatures will continue for much of the week across southern Manitoba, but a passing low pressure system on Saturday may replace sunshine with unsettled conditions.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday September 14, 2023
A low pressure system crossing Manitoba will bring warmer weather to the region on Thursday.

A collapsing upper ridge will gradually push into Manitoba as it weaken over the next couple days, bringing plenty of sunshine but not too much warmth. High temperatures in Winnipeg will sit close to 20 °C over the next couple days with a few clouds on Wednesday afternoon. The winds will be light on Tuesday, but could reach up to 30 km/h on Wednesday afternoon.

More cloud will move into the region on Wednesday night as a low pressure system crossing the northern Prairies pushes a warmer air mass into the region. Some showers might move through the region overnight Wednesday as this warmer air pushes in. This warmer air mass will help with overnight lows; Wednesday night will likely only drop into the low teens, compared to a low near 5 °C tonight.

On Thursday, highs temperatures will climb towards the mid-20s across southern Manitoba. Instability will grow through the day as a warm-sector trough pushes into the Red River Valley. As a result, there will actually be a small chance of some showers or thunderstorms later in the afternoon and early evening. With only around 500 J/kg of MLCAPE and 20–25 knots of bulk shear, any severe weather is highly unlikely. 

A cold front will sweep through on Thursday night, bringing seasonal temperatures back to the region on Friday.

Long Range Outlook

The region will see near-seasonal temperatures along with a mix of sun and cloud into the weekend. There will be a slight chance of showers on Friday night as some wrap-around precipitation moves across the region as an upper low exits the region.

Some warmer weather will likely push in to start next week with daytime highs climbing back towards the mid-twenties.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 19 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 7 °C.

Pleasant Weekend Weather Ahead for Winnipeg

A broad area of high pressure moving into Manitoba will bring seasonal temperatures and plenty of sunshine for the weekend.

ECMWF 10m Wind and MSLP Forecast valid 00Z Saturday September 10, 2023
A broad area of high pressure will move through Manitoba this weekend.

It will be quiet weather for Winnipeg and area over the next several days as a broad area of high pressure builds eastwards across the Prairies. This system will bring daytime highs in the low 20s to the region over the next few days with overnight lows in the 5–10 °C range. The days will bring light northerly winds with calm conditions at night. And most days will bring morning sun that gives way to a few afternoon clouds.

Some fog patches could be possible overnight on some of the upcoming nights as well.

There’s also no notable chance of precipitation right through the weekend.

Long Range Outlook

Heading into next week, the seasonal temperatures will continue right through the week . A low pressure system could move into the region mid-week, bringing southerly winds, warmer temperatures, and a chance of showers.

All in all, there’s lots of pleasant September weather ahead, so hopefully you can get out there and enjoy it!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 20 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 8 °C.

Warmer Weather Returns to Southern Manitoba

A warmer air mass will gradually push into southern Manitoba this week with highs back in the upper 20s for the second half of the week.

ECMWF 2m Temperature Forecast valid 18Z Thursday August 31, 2023
Warmer weather will continue to build into southern Manitoba on Thursday with temperatures approaching the 30 °C mark.

An upper ridge building into the eastern Prairies will bring seasonably warm temperatures back to the region. Before that happens, though, there will be one more day of seasonal warmth in Winnipeg as a disturbance passes by. It will bring mixed skies to the region today with highs climbing into the mid-20s. Winds won’t be much of an issue either, climbing into the 20–30 km/h range out of the south.

Smoke will be a bit of an issue this morning, but air quality should improve as the day progresses.

Tonight will be clear and cooler with a low temperature around 10 °C.

On Wednesday, the heat will begin to push into the region as a warm front edges into the region. Winnipeg should see a high in mid- to upper-20s with sunny skies. Winds won’t be too much of an issue, again climbing into the 20–30 km/h range out of the south. The region will see clear skies on Wednesday night with a low in the mid-teens.

On Thursday, a low pressure complex will begin lifting through Saskatchewan and the Dakotas towards the province. Highs will likely be a couple degrees warmer than Wednesday with cloud working into the region for the afternoon. The wind will be a lot more noticeable on Thursday, picking up out of the south into the 40 gusting 60 km/h range. This system will bring some showers or thunderstorms to western Manitoba in the morning. Those showers will lift to the north, then instability will build eastwards through the day.

By late-afternoon, a risk of thunderstorms will develop over the Red River Valley and areas east. There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms; with 500–1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 40–50 knots of bulk shear, any thunderstorms that develop would likely become fairly well organized with a primary threat of damaging hail and wind gusts. The risk of thunderstorms will continue into the evening, gradually shifting eastwards as the night goes on.

Long Range Outlook

Settled conditions will return to southern Manitoba on Friday with highs again in the upper 20s. On the weekend, even more heat will build into the region with daytime highs climbing into the low 30s. It’s a bit unclear how humid it will be, but there is a chance that it could be rather uncomfortable.

A cold front is expected to sweep through the region and bring more seasonal temperatures back to the region to start the new week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 22 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 10 °C.

Pleasant Summer Weekend Ahead

An area of high pressure building into Manitoba will bring pleasant summer conditions to southern Manitoba this weekend with a low chance of an isolated thunderstorm or two.

RDPS 500mb Height and Wind Speed Forecast valid 21Z Sunday July 30, 2023
An upper ridge will begin to develop over the Prairies by the end of the weekend, spreading warm weather through the region.

To end the work week in Winnipeg and area, northerly winds behind a cold front will bring seasonably cool temperatures to the area. With gradually clearing skies, temperatures will climb to a high around the 20 °C mark this afternoon. Those northerly winds will ease from around 20 km/h today to light this evening, followed by temperatures dipping to a low near 10 °C.

On Saturday, warmer weather will return to the region with highs back into the mid-20s. Some cloud will develop in the afternoon as a weak upper trough swings across the region; some showers will be possible on Saturday night as it moves through. Winds will be light on Saturday night as an area of high pressure moves in. Temperatures will dip down to the low teens overnight.

On Sunday, warm weather returns with highs climbing back into the upper 20s under sunny skies. A few locations may even see temperatures reach the low 30s. Humidity won’t be an issue, making for a great day to enjoy some time outside.

Long Range Outlook

Next week will kick off with another beautiful day on Monday; daytime highs will again sit in the upper 20s under partly cloudy skies. More humidity arrives Monday night, though, and with it will come variable cloudiness and the chance of showers or thunderstorms. Unsettled conditions are possible, particularly in the late overnight or early morning through mid-week, then more settled conditions should return for the end of the week as the humidity across the region eases.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 13 °C.