Tag: Benign Weather

Cool and Calm

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Monday through Wednesday

This week will start out cool and calm weather-wise. No significant precipitation or warm weather is expected.

Monday
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Clearing
-6°C / -21°C
Tuesday
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Mainly sunny
-1°C / -10°C
Wednesday
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Mainly sunny
-1°C / -10°C

Monday will be another ugly April day. Temperatures will be in the mid minus single digits with clearing skies. There will be a strong north wind as well, making it feel even worse than the temperature alone would indicate.

Tuesday and Wednesday will be very similar days. High temperatures will be just below zero in both cases, with the exception of urban and forested regions which will be a few degrees warmer than everyone else. The wind will also be from the north on both Tuesday and Wednesday, but it won’t be very noticeable except in open areas.

Long Range

The long range is looking slightly better than it has been for the last while. It looks like we may finally be moving into a pattern with more consistent melting temperatures by week’s end. It’s too early to say how warm it will get, but it looks like temperatures will still generally remain mainly below normal in the medium-term. The normal high for this time of year is +8C.

Pleasant and Warm

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At the risk of sounding like a broken record, more of the same is ahead for the rest of the week with daytime highs near 0°C.

Wednesday

Mainly sunny.
-2°C / -12°C
Thursday

A mix of sun and cloud
0°C / -7°C
Friday

Mainly sunny.
1°C / -5°C

We’ll see temperatures climb a degree or two each day through the rest of the week as the sun continues to slowly chip away at the cooler air over the province. The normal daytime high for this time of year is around 3–4°C, so we’ll still remain a little below normal over the next few days. We’ll see some cloud move in tonight, which should help keep the overnight lows from dropping too much. Skies will clear out on Thursday with sunny skies being dominant through the rest of the week. Overnight lows should actually end up moderating a bit as some warmer air pushes in aloft.

This benign weather pattern looks to continue for at least another 7–10 days with no significant weather systems expected to move through Southern Manitoba. This slowly warming, dry weather is good news in light of the most recent flood forecast which has been upgraded to a risk of moderate to major flooding in the Red River Valley.

Benign Weather Continues

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We’ll continue to chip away at the cold air and push towards seasonal temperatures over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure anchored over the province slowly weakens.

Friday

Mainly sunny. Increasing cloud overnight.
-7°C to -3°C / -14°C
Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud.
-3°C / -12°C
Sunday

Becoming sunnier than cloudy.
-3°C / -13°C

We’ll see mainly sunny skies today as temperatures climb from anywhere to -7°C on the northwest side of the city to closer to about -3°C downtown. Some cloud will start pushing into the Red River Valley from the east tonight which will limit our overnight low to only around -14°C instead of dropping back into the -20’s again. Saturday will see more cloud than sun with temperatures climbing to around -3°C and dropping to slightly below -10°C Saturday night. The clouds will start to break up on Sunday; we’ll likely see more sun than cloud through the late morning and afternoon period as the temperature climbs up to around -4°C yet again.

Long Range

Current indications for the next week or so are that not much will change; no large systems are in our forecast which will certainly be a help to the flooding situation. Days just below zero combined with the strong March sun and no additional precipitation are excellent for helping with the potential flood situation by melting the existing snowpack at a gradual pace.

Quiet Weekend Ahead

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The weather will be fairly quiet this weekend as no significant weather systems are expected to track through the region.

Friday

Mix of sun and cloud.
-5°C / -10°C
Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud, slight chance of a flurry.
-5°C / -15°C
Sunday

Mainly sunny.
-10°C / -14°C

We’ll see a mix of sun and cloud today as temperatures climb up to around 5°C as a weak low pressure system exits the province and some cloud begins streaming up ahead of a Colorado Low expected to track through the Dakotas and Minnesota. Temperatures will drop close to –10°C tonight under mostly cloudy skies.

We’ll see a mix of sun and cloud on Saturday as we sit on the northern fringe of the Colorado Low passing through the states. There’s a very slight chance of some scattered light flurries, but it’s very unlikely should any develop that they’ll end up producing any accumulating snowfall. Temperatures will once again climb to around –5°C and drop down to around –15°C Saturday night as skies clear with the Colorado Low moving off towards Southern Ontario.

Sunday will be the coolest day we’ve had in a while. While earlier in the week it looked as if it would be quite mild by weekend’s end, it turns out that the Colorado Low will pull down cooler Arctic across Southern Manitoba. Highs will climb to –8°C under mainly sunny skies.