A Chill in the Air

There will be a noticeable chill in the air this week as we begin to see hints of the season to come.

Cool temperatures are expected in Southern Manitoba on Monday

Cool temperatures are expected in Southern Manitoba on Monday.

Monday

Monday

Mainly cloudy. Chance of Flurries.
2°C / -4°C

Today will be one of the coolest days we’ve seen in quite some time. High temperatures will be in the low single digits with a north-westerly wind. We may also see some scattered flurries during the day. These flurries are not expected to amount to anything, but that probably won’t make their presence any more welcome! On the whole it won’t be a very pleasant start to the week.

Tuesday and Wednesday

Tuesday

Mix of Sun and Cloud. Slight Chance of Flurries.
3°C / -4°C
Wednesday

Mainly cloudy. Chance of Flurries.
4°C / -6°C

Tuesday and Wednesday will be very similar days. High temperatures will be in the low to mid single digits with the wind once again being from the north-west. There may also be some scattered showers or flurries, but accumulations will be minimal. Hopefully above-zero temperatures and a lack of additional snow will allow for the weekend’s snowfall over south-western Manitoba to melt.

Snow on the Weekend

Snow fell in Southern Manitoba over the Weekend

Snow fell in Southern Manitoba over the Weekend

A bit of snow fell this past weekend in parts of southern Manitoba. In particular, south-western sections of the province received 2-5cm of snow, with Oak Lake reportedly getting 7.5cm. There was also snow south of the border in parts of North Dakota. Accumulations down there were very similar to those seen in Manitoba, with amounts of 2-5cm noted (1-2 inches). Thankfully, there will be no additional accumulating snow in the short-range.

Long Range

The weather through the late week period looks to remain cool. Models currently suggest that temperatures will remain in the single digits. There may be more chances for snow as we move toward the weekend.

Warmer Weather and a Bit of Snow on The Way

Arctic ridging will keep our temperatures low over the next couple days but rest assured, warmer weather is on the way.

12hr. QPF for Thurday Night

12hr. precipitation amounts for Thursday night. A band of snow will pass through Southern Manitoba with greatest accumulations through the Interlake region and amounts diminishing towards the U.S. border.

We’ll see another cooler than normal day today as a weak low passing through Central/Eastern Manitoba pulls more cold air southwards and allows re-enforcement of the Arctic ridge in place over the Prairies. We’ll see temperatures climb to about -10°C under a mix of sun and clouds today as breezy winds develop out of the south to 30km/h. This will make it feel a lot closer to -20 out there. There may be a slight chance of a very light flurry over Winnipeg and the Eastern Red River Valley this afternoon, however the chances are slim and if it does happen, there won’t be any significant accumulations.

Temperatures will dip towards the -18 to -20°C mark tonight under partly cloudy skies. Tomorrow we’ll see another day with highs near -10°C with a mix of sun and clouds. A warm front will push through on Thursday night, bringing with it some light snow to the Red River Valley. Lightest accumulations will be in the Southern Red River Valley with greater amounts in the Northern Red River Valley into the Interlake; in general, 2-4cm accumulations are likely. Areas south of Morris may, however, end up with little to no snowfall if the area of snow stays just a little tighter to the system centre as it passes through.

For Friday into the weekend we’ll see an unsettled pattern with bouts of light snow possible through much of the time. We’ll be under cloudy skies, but comparatively balmy temperatures will be in place with daytime highs generally around -1 to -3°C.

Mild Weather To Bring Cloudy Skies…Again

A southwest flow aloft is bringing warmer air back to the Prairie provinces, however with plenty of snow around to melt, our sunshine won’t last long…

A shot of sunshine in Winnipeg; a rather elusive feat as of late. The sun will go back into hiding this weekend. Photo credit: Instagram user @shwaahall.

We’ll see mainly sunny skies today as temperatures climb to right around the 0°C mark with winds out of the south at 30km/h. As winds subside this evening after sunset, stratus clouds and fog will begin to develop in the Red River Valley as all the moisture from melting snowpack is stuck underneath the inversion and is forced to condense as the temperatures drop. Expect an overnight low of –5°C tonight. The fog patches will stick around the RRV into Saturday morning before lifting.

Clouds will stick around for the day on Saturday as temperatures climb to about –1°C. Fog patches will likely redevelop on Saturday night as temperatures dip down to –5°C again. Sunday looks to be a mainly cloudy day as well, with a daytime high once again right near the freezing mark.

For now it looks like we may see the cloud get scoured out of the Valley as a surface trough moves through on Monday; for now, enjoy the sunshine today…we likely won’t see it for another couple days.

Decent Start to the Week

The weather to start this week will be decent, with normal to above-normal temperatures expected. However, some change is in store closer to the middle of the week.

A strong low pressure system will move through Southern Manitoba this week

A strong low pressure system will move through Southern Manitoba this week, pulling down cooler air from the north

Monday will be a fairly good, albeit cloudy day. Temperatures will be in the low teens in the Red River Valley, with perhaps a couple of light showers in the afternoon. These showers are expected to develop ahead of a trough that will move through the Red River Valley during the day. Further west, in portions of south-western Manitoba, temperature should climb up around the 20C mark as sunnier conditions prevail. Tuesday looks to be the warmest day of the week, with highs close to 20C possible in the Red River Valley. Unfortunately that is where nice weather ends.

A powerful low pressure system will slide through Manitoba on Wednesday, bringing some rain and changing weather with it. Temperatures on Wednesday will remain near normal at around 10C with gusty west to north-westerly winds developing behind the low pressure system. On Thursday the system’s passage will be felt more noticeably as temperatures drop back down into the mid single digits and gusty north winds make for a chilly day.

There is some uncertainty in the forecast for late week into the weekend. Models currently suggest that another strong low pressure system may move through Manitoba, but the timing and strength of this system are not clear. This is what the end of the week will probably look like, but as we all know models like to change their solutions from time to time.