A Cooler End to the Weekend

We’ll see two more days of temperatures near or just above 0°C before a cold front sweeps through Southern Manitoba bringing minimal precipitation and cooler weather.

12hr. QPF valid Sunday morning

Precipitation amounts for Saturday night from the NAM forecast model.

Today and Tomorrow

We’ll be off to a cloudy morning with fog patches through the entire Red River Valley; the fog may be quite dense in some areas, so if you’re travelling be prepared to potentially face near-zero visibilities at times. The fog will lift through the morning and by mid-afternoon the sun should be poking out once and a while. We’ll be on our way to a high of around +1°C with light winds. We’ll see increasing cloudiness tonight as the aforementioned system pushes towards Southern Manitoba. The cloud cover will help us keep our overnight low a bit higher than it has been lately with the temperature only expected to dip down to about -5°C. It’s likely that well see the redevelopment of fog patches again tonight.

Friday

Fog patches lifting this morning with gradual clearing.
1°C / -5°C
Saturday

Fog patches lifting then a mix of sun and cloud.
3°C
Saturday Night

A few flurries with the risk of freezing rain.
-12°C

We’ll see temperatures slowly climb back up above 0°C today as the cold front approaches the Red River Valley. Any fog patches that form overnight will lift fairly quickly in the morning as we head into another nice day with a mix of sun and cloud as the temperature climbs to +2 or +3°C.

A cold front will sweep across the Red River Valley tonight, bringing some flurries with it. There’s some uncertainty to the distribution of the snow: the models tend to spread it out, but all simultaneously hint towards a narrow band of heavier precipitation setting up. It’s hard to tell what’s going to happen this early, but suffice to say that there will almost certainly be a few flurries with the potential for local accumulations of 2-4cm somewhere in the RRV. In addition to the snow, there will be the potential for some patchy freezing rain as there will likely be some precipitation before all our warmer air aloft is scoured out by the cold front. Accumulations of freezing rain should not be significant, but may be enough to slick up roadways a little.

Sunday

Saturday

Chance of flurries. Clearing.
-6°C / -15°C

There will be a few lingering flurries about on Sunday morning, but they should clear out by midday and skies will then clear out. Sitting on the back-side of the cold front, our temperature will only climb to around -6°C, although it might be a little colder than that if clouds linger further into the day.

It looks like the cold weather will only stick around for a couple days until temperatures rebound back to the 0°C mark.

Cold Weather Set to Return

We’ll see one (or two) more day of nice weather before things turn cold again, another arctic blast is on the way!

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Manitoba will once again find itself right square in the middle of a major trough this week. This will allow another arctic air mass to surge down into Southern Manitoba by mid-week. This frigid air mass will be ushered in by an arctic front on Tuesday, whose arrival will be announced on Tuesday night with increasing north-westerly winds. However, before that happens we’ll see one final warm day on Monday.

Monday

Monday
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Mainly cloudy. Risk of freezing rain or ice pellets.
-5°C / -12°C

Monday will be the warmest day this week, with high temperatures in the mid minus single digits in Southern Manitoba. There may be some light and sporadic freezing rain or ice pellets in Southern Manitoba on Monday morning. However, colder air aloft will move in later in the morning, turning any lingering precipitation to snow. The wind will be light on Monday, making it a comfortable day.

Tuesday

Tuesday
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Mainly cloudy. Chance of flurries.
-10°C / -22°C

On Tuesday we’ll transition from early week’s warm weather to the colder weather that is in store for the rest of the week. As the arctic front approaches we may see a few flurries during the day on Tuesday. However, in general Tuesday looks like an OK day, with temperatures remaining slightly above seasonal and winds remaining fairly light. However, that will change Tuesday night as colder air begins spilling in…

Wednesday

Wednesday
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Mainly sunny
-22°C / -32°C

We return to the deep freeze on Wednesday, with temperatures more or less flat-lining through the day at the morning’s low temperature. Wind chill values will be very cold as well. Wednesday night will be another frigid one, with temperatures expected to drop down around the -30C mark once again.

Models are somewhat ambiguous in terms of the long-range forecast. There is some indication that we may begin to warm up in early February, but there are other indications to suggest we may remain cold. It’s too early to say what is going to happen, so stay tuned for more updates as we go along.