Summer Heat Continues To Build

Temperatures in Winnipeg will continue heat up as the city enters into a stretch of hot summer weather.

Winnipeg will see partly cloudy skies through the day today as some remnant cloud from overnight thunderstorms in Saskatchewan graze the area on their way by. There will still be plenty of sun, though, and temperatures will climb to a high near 28°C. Breezy southerly winds picking up to 30 gusting 50 km/h will draw a more humid air mass northwards, making this feel a bit muggy this afternoon.

Heading into the evening, the city will see a slight risk of thunderstorms. Unfortunately, the setup is highly conditional. Whether or not thunderstorms will move eastwards out of southwestern Manitoba into the RRV won’t be clear until much later today. For a comprehensive look at why the setup is so tricky, be sure to check out the ECCC Thunderstorm Outlook on our bulletin viewer.1 As the system responsible for the thunderstorm threat pushes east overnight, skies will clear. The wind will ease tonight with temperatures dipping to a low near 18°C.

Thursday will bring mainly sunny skies to the city as a broad ridge of high pressure moves through. The humidity will ease a bit as temperatures head to a high near 30°C. Winds won’t be much of an issue either, light out of the north or northeast. All in all a beautiful summer day! Temperatures will dip to a low near 17°C on Thursday night under partly cloudy skies. There is a small chance of showers or thunderstorms on Thursday night, but if they form they will likely stay well to the south of the city near the U.S. border.

Temperatures will continue to inch warmer on Friday with a high near 31°C. The city will see a bit more cloud through the day thanks to a stalled frontal boundary draped through the region. Winds will once again be light. Skies should gradually clear on Friday night as the warm front slowly pushes off to the northeast. As it does so, however, it may end up producing a few showers or thunderstorms on its way out of the region. Temperatures will dip to a low near 20°C on Friday night.

Long Range Outlook

The weekend looks hot with humid weather returning, highs in the low 30s, and lows near 20°C. The region will see plenty of sun, but once again there’s a small chance of thunderstorms on Saturday night.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.

  1. An updated Day 1 Thunderstorm Outlook should be available at the latest by 7:30 AM.

Hot and (Briefly) Muggy Conditions Return

Winnipeg will see more heat with building humidity before a cold front passes through on Thursday, bringing a chance of showers or thunderstorms.

An upper ridge over the province will bring another hot day to Winnipeg. The city will see daytime highs near 30°C under mainly sunny skies today. Dew points will gradually rise through the day as southerly winds of 20 to 30 km/h draw humidity northwards. This will produce humidex values approaching the mid-30s this afternoon. The wind will persist out of the south tonight near 20 km/h with increasing cloud. This will result in a warm, muggy night with a low near 21°C.

There’s a lot of diversity in the model forecast solutions for Wednesday night. Some models have no precipitation for Winnipeg, while others sustain an area of thunderstorms from southern Saskatchewan into the region. Either way, if there is going to be any precipitation it likely won’t arrive in Winnipeg until early Thursday morning. The synoptic pattern isn’t particularly favourable for sustaining nocturnal convection, but if the thunderstorms in Saskatchewan can organize early enough, they may be able to last all the way to the Red River Valley. We’ll keep an eye on it, and we’d also recommend checking out Environment & Climate Change Canada’s take on it in their thunderstorm outlook, available in our bulletin viewer.

On Thursday, a cold front will push across the province early in the day. Behind the front, moderate westerly winds of 30 to 40 gusting 50 km/h will clear skies and usher in a drier air mass. Temperatures will still be warm with a high near 29°C, but the drier conditions will make it more comfortable. Winds will continue out of the southwest at 10 to 20 km/h on Thursday night. Temperatures will head to a low near 17°C with increasing cloud.

Friday will bring breezy conditions to southern Manitoba again as a low pressure system passes to the north. Westerly winds will pick back up into the 20 to 30 km/h range in the Red River Valley with mixed to cloudy skies. There will be a chance of showers with this system as well as moisture wraps around the low. Potential rainfall amounts amounts don’t look particularly significant; just light accumulations of a couple mm look possible. Temperatures will be cooler with a high near 25 or 26°C.

Skies will clear Friday night with diminishing winds. Winnipeg will see a low near 16°C.

Long Range Outlook

Warm weather will return to the region on Saturday with highs returning to the 30°C mark with mostly sunny skies. Showers or thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday with a low pressure system forecast to move across southern Manitoba.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Monday July 15, 2019

Summer Heat And Occasional Showers Ahead

Winnipeg may see a few showers or thunderstorms today and Wednesday, but the summer heat and relatively humid conditions continue.

The warm and humid weather continues this morning, but relief is on the way. Winnipeg may see a thunderstorm to start the day, but it’s dependent on where the overnight activity decides to move. Most guidance suggests the line will remain north of the city, but there’s a small chance that some new thunderstorms will develop along the southern end of the line. After that passes this morning, the region will see a mainly sunny morning with mixed skies in the afternoon. Temperatures will climb back up to 29 or 30°C with humid conditions continuing. A weak cold front will sweep through late in the day, bringing another chance of showers or thunderstorms to the city.

Winds will gradually turn northwesterly and strengthen to around 30 km/h through the day today, then ease in the evening. Winnipeg will see partly cloudy skies tonight as temperatures drop to around 17°C.

Tuesday will bring increasing cloudiness in the afternoon as the next low pressure system approaches. While still noticeable, the humidity will be a bit lower and comfortable as climb to a high near 26°C. Skies will remain mostly cloudy on Tuesday night with a small chance of showers. Temperatures will dip to a low near 17°C again.

While still humid, Tuesday will bring some relief from the humidity in place over the region on Sunday and Monday.
While still humid, Tuesday will bring some relief from the humidity in place over the region on Sunday and Monday.

Unsettled weather returns on Wednesday as a low pressure system crosses the province. The showers or thunderstorms are likely, particularly heading into the afternoon. Early indications are that much of the Red River Valley will see 5 to 15 mm, but the convective nature of the rain will mean some places see more, and some less, than that. All the cloud cover will mean cooler temperatures with a high near 23°C in Winnipeg. The rain should taper off by evening leaving partly cloudy skies overnight.

Long Range Outlook

Thursday will likely bring mixed skies and another small chance of thunderstorms, then a big pattern change moves in. While temperatures won’t cool down too much, a much drier air mass is forecast to move into the region. The weekend should bring highs in the mid- to upper 20s and plenty of sunshine!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.

Another Brief Reprieve Before Heat & Humidity Return

Winnipeg will see a one-day break before heat and humidity builds back in for the weekend.

Conditions will be calm, comfortable, and quiet in Winnipeg today. A ridge of high pressure will move into the region today behind a cold front that passed through overnight. This ridge will bring plenty of sunshine to the region as temperatures climb to a high near 24°C. A northwesterly wind near 20 km/h will persist through much of the day, then diminish through the evening. Skies will stay fairly clear tonight as temperatures drop to a low near 16°C.

Heading into the weekend, a weak upper-level ridge will usher heat and humidity back into the region. For both Saturday and Sunday, daytime highs will climb to 29 or 30°C and overnight lows near 20°C. The humidity will build on Saturday with dew points climbing into the upper teens. For Sunday, dew points will rise back to the 20°C mark, similar to Thursday afternoon. The humid conditions will result in Humidex values in the mid-30s. Winds will be light out of the south on Saturday at around 15 km/h, but pick up into the 20 to 30 km/h range on Sunday.

Very humid conditions are forecast to re-develop over southern Manitoba on Sunday through Sunday night.
Very humid conditions are forecast to re-develop over southern Manitoba on Sunday through Sunday night.

As far as active weather goes, the city will see a few chances for thunderstorms. The first will be on Saturday afternoon as a warm front pushes through the region. The second will be Sunday morning as an area of nocturnal convection moves through the region. Both are highly conditional, so be sure to stay tuned for any watches or warnings issued by Environment and Climate Change Canada through the weekend.

All in all prepare for a hot and muggy weekend with variable cloudiness and a couple chances for thunderstorms!

Long Range Outlook

Next week looks to bring seasonably warm conditions with slightly less humidity. The muggiest air will clear out on Monday with the chance for more thunderstorms. Then the remainder of the week will bring daytime highs in the 27 to 30°C range with overnight lows of 17 to 20°C. The city will likely see plenty of sun, but the overall pattern is slightly unsettled. As a result, there will likely be several chances of thunderstorms through the week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.