Tag: Lake-Effect Precipitation

Seasonably Cool and Wet Weather Continues

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A series of slow-moving low pressure systems will continue to bring cool conditions and periods of wet weather to southern Manitoba.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday October 15, 2022
A persistent northwesterly wind over the next few days will continue to funnel cool, Arctic air southwards over Manitoba.

We’re back from our break over the long weekend and, well, we hope you enjoyed the beautiful Thanksgiving weather. Now a distant memory, a series of low pressure systems are bringing much colder weather to the region.

A band of lake-effect precipitation from Lake Winnipeg will shift across the region today as winds shift to the north. This will bring a chance of flurries or showers to Winnipeg through the morning. Skies will stay cloudy most of the day, but the chance for any more precipitation should diminish into the afternoon. Temperatures will climb into the mid-single digits with easing winds.

The reprieve will be short lived, though. Another low pressure system will begin dropping southwards into central Manitoba tonight, spreading more rain southwards for Saturday. Most of the precipitation will fall east of Winnipeg, but the city will see a chance of seeing some rain. If the main area of rain from the system doesn’t affect the city, lake-effect squalls developing it its wake could. Temperatures will be warmer on Saturday with a high of 7 or 8 °C even though skies stay cloudy. Northwest winds of 20 to 30 km/h will persist through the day.

This entire complex of systems will finally begin to shift out of the region on Sunday. Unfortunately, that will also come with an Arctic high pushing into the region. Moderate northwest winds ahead of the high will usher cooler air into the region on Sunday, keeping daytime highs in the low single digits. The cloud cover will gradually break up, allowing temperatures to fall well below freezing on Sunday night.

Long Range Outlook

The cool weather will continue on Monday with highs in the low single digits, but the winds will be much lighter. Cool conditions will continue for Tuesday, then a return to more seasonal temperatures will arrive midweek. Drier weather should also return with the seasonal temperatures.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 11 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 0 °C.

Southern Manitoba Soaking Marks Arrival of Cooler Weather

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A Colorado Low will bring widespread rain to southern Manitoba today and usher in cooler temperatures for the rest of the week.

Winnipeg will see cloudy skies today with rain beginning midday as it spread northwards out of North Dakota. Rain will move into all of southern Manitoba today and gradually lift northwards through the night. The organized rain should taper off by Thursday morning across much of southern Manitoba.

Rainfall totals in Winnipeg will likely sit in the 20–30 mm range with slightly higher amounts to the west along the Red River Valley escarpment. Much of southwestern Manitoba will likely get a good soaking with 25–40 mm possible throughout that region. Rain will also fall to the east of the Red River Valley, but accumulations should be a bit less in the 15–25 mm range.

RDPS 24hr. Accumulated Precipitation Forecast valid 18Z Thursday October 14, 2021
A Colorado Low will bring a proper soaking to southern Manitoba on Wednesday.

Temperatures will climb to around 10 °C today in Winnipeg with brisk northeast winds strengthening to 40 gusting 60 km/h. Temperatures will keep rising through to around 12 °C overnight as the low centre moves approaches this evening. Once it passes, it will cool back to around 10 °C by Thursday morning. The winds will ease as the low moves through overnight.

On Thursday, Winnipeg and area will continue to see cloudy skies with scattered showers wrapping around the rear flank of the low. With cooler temperatures filtering into the region, some lake-enhanced showers or drizzle will also be possible off the Manitoba Lakes. Temperatures will stay steady around 9 °C with westerly winds up to 30 km/h. Precipitation will taper off Thursday evening, then winds will ease and temperatures will dip to a low near +3 °C.

Friday will bring westerly winds of 20–30 km/h to Winnipeg with temperatures climbing to a high near 9 °C again. Much of the day will bring cloudy skies, but clearing will be working into the Red River Valley through the afternoon and evening hours. Temperatures will be cool on Friday night with a low near 1 °C and light winds under clearing skies.

Long Range Outlook

Temperatures will warm a bit this weekend as a push of mild Pacific spills eastwards across the Prairies. This will set up another low to start off next week that may bring another batch of showers to the region.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 11 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 0 °C.

Cool Monday, Then Warming Up for Winnipeg

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It will be a cool start to the week in Winnipeg, but summer heat will quickly build back into the region this week.

Southern Manitoba will continue to see cooler weather today thanks to a broad vortex over Hudson Bay. It has brought a northerly flow the province and sent a pipeline of Arctic air southwards over the eastern Prairies. The seasonably cool temperatures will stick around today, supported by a northwest wind near 30 km/h. Winnipeg will likely start the day with some sunshine, but skies will become mixed through the morning. There will be a small chance of some midday showers today as the winds shift the Lake Manitoba streamers towards the city. Temperatures will reach a high near 17 °C. A few clouds will linger tonight as winds ease and temperatures drop to a low near 6 °C.

Seasonal temperatures will return to southern Manitoba on Tuesday an upper ridge pushes eastwards across the Prairies. A weak ridge will bring sunny skies to the Red River Valley with a high near 25 °C in Winnipeg. Winds will be light out of the southwest at 15–25 km/h. A warm front will push across southern Manitoba on Tuesday night, bringing a few clouds to Winnipeg with a mild low near 16 °C. Winds will strengthen out of the south overnight as well, increasing into the 30–40 km/h range by Wednesday morning.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Wednesday June 23, 2021
The cooler start to the week will quickly give way to summertime heat by Wednesday.

The heat will be back on Wednesday with temperatures climbing to a high near 31 °C. Those moderate southerly winds will ease midday as a trough of low pressure moves into the Red River Valley. Winds look to switch to westerly at 20–30 km/h for the afternoon with a few clouds. A cold front pushing into the region later in the day will bring a chance of showers or thunderstorms to Winnipeg. Any storms would have limited energy to work with, but the winds will be favourable to help organize any thunderstorms that develop. The forecasted environment would suggest that some scattered thunderstorms are possible with a risk of isolated marginally severe storms.

Everything will settle down on Wednesday night with a low near 15 °C under mixed skies.

Long Range Outlook

Winnipeg should see near-seasonal temperatures through the rest of the work week, followed by a return of hotter conditions for the weekend into next week. Forecasts show little precipitation ahead with mainly sunny conditions this weekend into next week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 24 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 12 °C.

Colorado Low Brings Cloudy, Mild Weather to Winnipeg

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Winnipeg’s temperatures will continue above seasonal values as a Colorado Low pushes warmer air northwards. This storm system will bring blizzard conditions with 30 to 50 cm of snow across parts of southern Saskatchewan into central Manitoba as well as a swath of rain and freezing rain. Winnipeg will avoid the worst of it with comparatively pleasant conditions.

Today will mark the transition from the mild, dry Pacific flow of the past few days towards a developing Colorado Low. Winnipeg will see northerly winds in the 20–30 km/h range today. Those winds will keep things cooler with a high near 5 °C under mixed skies. The winds will ease a bit tonight as they shift to the east under cloudy skies. Temperatures should dip to a low near 0 °C.

On Saturday, the storm system will be gathering strength south of the border and supporting a blanket of cloud cover across southern Manitoba. Temperatures should reach a high near 7 °C with easterly winds at 15–25 km/h. The cloud cover and a push of warmer air from the Colorado Low will keep temperatures mild on Saturday night with a low near +3 °C.

RDPS Precipitation Type/Rate Forecast valid 03Z Monday November 9, 2020
A potent Colorado Low will bring winter storm conditions to parts of southern Saskatchewan and Manitoba Sunday into Monday as it spreads heavy snow, ice pellets, freezing rain, and rain across the region.

Sunday will start with a warm front pushing northwards through the Red River Valley. It will bring some drizzle or light rain as it moves through, with mild temperatures afterwards. Winnipeg should see a high near 12 °C but could end up ±2–3 °C depending on the exact low track. A cold front will sweep through on Sunday evening, bringing another chance of showers. Winds will sift to the west overnight as temperatures head to a low near -1 °C.

Long Range Outlook

Much cooler air will push into the region behind this system, triggering more lake-effect precipitation off the Manitoba Lakes on Monday. Winnipeg may end up seeing some flurries through the day as the winds gradually taper off. Things should settle down for Tuesday and the rest of the week, but highs will likely hover just below freezing.

The long-range forecast looks fairly dry with near-seasonal temperatures.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 2 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -7 °C.