Tag: MBwx

November Warmth Continues This Week

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Southern Manitoba will recover from the weekend rain quite nicely with warming temperatures and lots of sunshine.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday November 7, 2024
An upper ridge will begin to push mild weather into Manitoba later this week.

A ridge of high pressure will bring plenty of sunshine to the Winnipeg region today with light winds. Temperatures will climb to a seasonably mild high around 6 °C this afternoon. Tonight, a decaying low pressure system will begin to spread cloud cover into the region as temperatures head to a low down to around -3 °C.

Tomorrow, Winnipeg and the Red River Valley will see mainly cloudy skies as the decaying system mentioned above moves through. The clouds will keep it cooler with a near-seasonal high in the low single digits and winds will continue to be light. Skies will gradually clear out tomorrow night with a low down near -5 °C.

For the rest of the week, an upper ridge will build into the Prairies, bringing sunshine and warm weather. Daytime highs will climb into the 5 to 10 °C range with lows near freezing or warmer for the second half of the week. Winds will become more present on Thursday with southerly winds strengthening into to 30–40 km/h range for the afternoon. Winds will become calmer again on Friday.

Long Range Outlook

Pleasant conditions will last right through the weekend with seasonably warm daytime highs and mainly sunny skies. The pleasant conditions will continue into the start of next week week, but temperatures will begin to moderate towards more seasonal values.

The next chance for precipitation looks to come in the middle of next week, and it could come as a mix of rain and snow. It doesn’t look like accumulations will be all that much, but we could see the first coating of snow of the season. Temperatures will continue to be mild, though, so it’s unlikely that the snow will stick!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is +2 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -7 °C.

Seasonal Conditions Settle in for the Week

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Conditions across the Red River Valley will settle into a nearly statistically perfect normal through the rest of the week. Pleasant and benign fall conditions will continue for Winnipeg right through the weekend. On the plus side, Halloween will be much more pleasant this year than the region saw last October!

Conditions across the Red River Valley will settle into a nearly statistically perfect normal through the rest of the week. Pleasant and benign fall conditions will continue for Winnipeg right through the weekend.
A ridge of high pressure will push into southern Manitoba this week while the cold air is locked away further to the north.

Settled conditions will sit over much of Manitoba this week as a high pressure system builds in from the west. This will result in a boring weather week for the Winnipeg area; daytime highs will settle to the mid-single digits with lows dipping to the mid-minus single digits most nights. The region will see variable cloudiness over the next several days, but no notable precipitation is in the forecast.

A disturbance will track southeast of the region overnight into Wednesday, but its rain should stay well to the southeast. There is a slight chance of some lake-effect precipitation in its wake on Wednesday, but that would most likely only come from Lake Winnipeg and track southeast, leaving the Red River Valley unaffected.

For Halloween, it continues to look vastly superior to last year’s frozen tromp through a windy snowscape. By evening, temperatures will sit near +2 °C and slowly dip to around freezing by midnight. Winds will be calm under partly cloudy skies.

Long Range Outlook

There’s little change in the weather ahead, with seasonal conditions lasting right into next week. There looks to be a chance of rain next Monday with the potential for some seasonably mild conditions next week.

There’s little indication of any major cold snap or pattern change heading right into the second week of November. The beautiful fall conditions continue for Winnipeg!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 5 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -4 °C.

Pleasant Fall Weekend Ahead

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It will be a pleasant weekend for the Winnipeg region with plenty of sun and near-seasonal temperatures.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday October 26, 2024
Pleasant late-fall temperatures will settle over southern Manitoba this weekend.

The week will end with settled conditions as an area of high pressure moves across the province. Northwesterly winds of 20 to 30 km/h will ease tonight as the ridge builds in, then gradually shift southerly and then easterly over the following 24 hours. Temperatures will climb to a high near 10 °C both today and Saturday, but tonight will be colder than Saturday night. Expect a low closer to -5 °C tonight and dipping just below freezing on Saturday night.

Both days should bring plenty of sun to the region, but some warmer air beginning to push towards the region on Saturday will bring mixed skies into the afternoon.

On Sunday, a more organized southerly flow will develop over the region in response to a low developing in Alberta. This will likely result in southeasterly winds that pick up into the 20–30 km/h range by evening and then strengthen into the night. It will be warmer on Sunday with a high in the low teens and a low on Sunday night that stays in the 5–10 °C range. Skies will likely be a mix of sun and cloud.

Long Range Outlook

Next week looks to start off warm with a high in the mid-teens under sunny skies on Monday. After that, seasonal temperatures will filter back into the region for the rest of the week. No precipitation is in the forecast until close to Halloween.

For Halloween, guidance largely continues to suggest a pleasant day overall with a high in the mid-single digits that drops close to freezing for the evening. Still looking like a solid improvement from what the region saw last year!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 7 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -3 °C.

Seasonably Warm Temperatures Returning Later This Week

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The Winnipeg area will see one more cool fall day before warmer weather begins to push back into the region again.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday October 17, 2024
An upper ridge will spread warmer temperatures back into southern Manitoba this week.

A stubborn high pressure system will keep cooler temperatures in place across southern Manitoba today. After a frosty start to the day, winds will pick up out of the south into the 20 to 30 km/h range today with daytime highs around the 10 °C mark this afternoon. Things will begin to change tonight, though, as an upper low to our east begins to move off and an upper ridge starts to build across the Prairies. With warmer temperatures beginning to spread into the southern Prairies, temperatures will only dip into the mid-single digits tonight. Winds will persist out of the south around 20 km/h.

The Winnipeg area will have mainly sunny skies for much of the rest of the week. As the upper ridge builds in, daytime highs will climb close to 20 °C with southeasterly winds gradually strengthening up to 40 gusting 60 km/h for Thursday. Overnight lows will climb towards the upper single digits.

Long Range Outlook

A low pressure system will push through the province on Friday, bringing a chance of showers that will be highest east of Winnipeg and cooler temperatures. Daytime highs will dip back into the low teens for Friday and Saturday, the former bringing cloudier skies to the area while the latter is much sunnier. Another push of warmer weather is possible for Sunday and/or Monday, then the upper pattern begins to change.

Cooler temperatures and a chance of rain is possible in the first half of next week, returning the region back to seasonal temperatures.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 10 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 0 °C.