While today will start off with some showers as cold fronts usher the above-freezing temperatures out of the region, conditions will remain generally mild with near-seasonal to above-seasonal temperatures expected over the coming week.

Winnipeg will see a mild start to the day with temperatures near +3°C, but that warmth will be short-lived. A cold front sweeping through early this morning will bring a band of showers across southern Manitoba. This front will usher in breezy westerly winds near 30 km/h with gusts up to around 50 km/h. The showers should taper off behind the front, but a second cold front will then drop southwards in the afternoon, bringing with it flurries as the winds shift northwesterly and temperatures drop further to around -1°C by the evening. The flurries will taper off in the evening as the breaks up a bit, leaving mixed skies for the night. Winds will taper off as temperatures drop to a low near -9°C.

Saturday will bring light winds as a ridge of high pressure moves across the Red River Valley, likely with a bit of morning sunshine. Cloud will build back eastwards into Winnipeg in the afternoon though, as the front that dipped southwards through the Red River Valley rebounds to the west and begins pushing back into the Red River Valley again. No snow or rain is expected in the Red River Valley; any precipitation will be further north, close to a low pressure system crossing through central Manitoba. Temperatures will climb towards a high near -2°C as the cloud moves into the region, and winds will pick up out of the south to around 20 km/h. Expect skies to remain mostly cloudy on Saturday night with temperatures remaining near -2 or -1°C for much of the evening, then dropping to a low near -5°C overnight as a weak cold front slumps through, shifting winds northwesterly and bringing in cooler air.

Sunday will bring mostly cloudy skies to the region yet again as temperatures remain steady near -4°C for much of the day. Another ridge of high pressure will be moving across the province, so winds will remain light throughout the day. Skies will remain cloudy on Sunday night as another warm front approaches from the west. Temperatures will climb towards -1°C by Monday morning with increasing southerly winds to 20 to 30 km/h.

Long Range Outlook

Looking ahead, Monday looks mild but may bring rain or snow to the region as another significant low pressure system crosses through the central Prairies. Afterwards, a zonal flow persists over the Prairies bringing multiple disturbances through the week that will bring occasional chances for flurries. Temperatures will remain near-seasonal to above normal, with relatively mild temperatures expected to remain in place for much of next week!

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently -5°C while the seasonal overnight low is -13°C.

Temperature will trend towards the milder side over the coming few days in Winnipeg as an upper-level ridge builds into the eastern Prairies. The warmer weather will come at a cost, though, with sunshine becoming somewhat of a scarce commodity in the second half of the work week.

Today will start off with skies clouding over quite early as an upper-level disturbance slides southeastwards from Dauphin into the southern Red River Valley. As it moves through, it will spread an area of light snow through the Parkland, across southwestern Manitoba, and into the southern Red River Valley. Winnipeg will be on the northeastern edge of the main area of snow and will see some non-accumulating light snow. Under the main snow track, snow will still be fairly light, with just 1 to 2 cm expected to fall. The snow will taper off in the afternoon as temperatures reach a high near -7°C, then skies will clear out in the evening as temperatures head to a low near -14 or -15°C.

Thursday will see cloudy skies move into the Red River Valley early in the morning as a warm front pushes eastwards into the province. Temperatures will climb back to near-seasonal values through the day, reaching near -3°C by late afternoon. Those warmer temperatures will also come with increasing southerly winds increasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon. Skies will remain cloudy overnight with temperatures continue to rise, reaching +1°C or so by Friday morning. Winds will ease slightly to around 20 km/h for the night after the warm front passes through.

Friday will be very mild in Winnipeg with temperatures reaching a high near +3 or +4°C. Showers will be possible as a cold front sweeps through in the morning, ushering in breezier westerlies of 30 to 40 km/h. The chance of showers will continue into to the afternoon, then switch to light snow as a second trough of low pressure swings through. After that, winds will switch to the northwest at around 40 gusting 60 km/h and temperatures will begin falling back below freezing to a low near -8°C with flurries and breezy northwesterlies continuing.

Long Range Outlook

Taking a quick look ahead to the weekend, it looks like Winnipeg will see near-seasonal temperatures with variable cloudiness. Saturday should see some sunshine while Sunday may see more of a mixed to mainly cloudy sky. All in all, relatively pleasant for late November!

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently -4°C while the seasonal overnight low is -12°C.

Winnipeg will be offered a reprieve from yesterday’s snow and harsh wind as with temperatures set to rebound towards seasonal values over the next couple days. The region will see increasing cloud through the weekend, though, as another low pressure system will bring some light snow and rain to the province Saturday night into Sunday.

The sun will be back today in WInnipeg as a ridge of high pressure building southwards clears out the remaining clouds from yesterday’s storm system. Temperatures will slowly climb back above freezing or a high near +2°C this afternoon. While that’s a bit below-seasonal, the absence of any wind will be a welcome change. Skies will remain clear tonight, but the ridge of high pressure in place will send temperatures well below-seasonal tonight with lows of -6 to -10°C through the Red River Valley and southern Interlake.

Saturday will see seasonably cool conditions in Winnipeg for the last Blue Bomber’s regular season home game. Winnipeg will see a mix of sun and cloud as warmer air spreads eastwards across the Prairies ahead of a low pressure system sliding southeastwards from Yellowknife, NWT. Temperatures will reach a high near 3°C with light winds.

Skies will cloud over late in the afternoon or early Saturday evening with a mix of snow and rain moving into the Red River Valley from the north. As the evening progresses there will be a continued chance for showers.¹ Temperatures will dip to a low near +1°C with winds increasing out of the south to 20-30 km/h.

Sunday will start with a cold front swinging through the Red River Valley, bringing with it some morning showers and shifting winds to the northwest at 30-40 km/h. There will be a slight chance of showers through the remainder of the day after the cold front passes, but it appears much of the precipitation associated with this system will remain further north and east of Winnipeg, along a the track of the low moving through the province: from Swan River southeastwards through the central Interlake and into southeastern Manitoba. Temperatures will reach a high near 6°C.

Sunday night will continue to be overcast with an increasing chance of rain changing to snow through the night as the precipitation that is north of the Red River Valley slumps southwards. Temperatures will dip to a low near -1°C with winds remaining out of the north at 30-40 km/h.

Long Range Outlook

Monday will likely bring some morning snow giving way to cloudy skies and a high near freezing with breezy north winds continuing. It looks quite likely that lake-effect snow will develop off of Lake Manitoba and Lake Winnipeg, potentially bringing accumulating snow to the regular places: near Portage la Prairie and southwards along the western escarpment, and south of Lake Winnipeg towards Beausejour. Of course, exactly where sees these bands of snow will depend significantly on the exact wind direction, so it’s a bit early to say much of whether or not Winnipeg will be impacted.

The remainder of the week looks cool and will bring several chances for flurries as multiple disturbances move through.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 6°C while the seasonal overnight low is -4°C.

1. Snow will only be likely in the early evening; increasing amounts of warm air aloft combined with surface temperatures above zero should provide enough warmth to favour rain. ↩