Cool Mid-Week, Otherwise Comparatively Mild

Although temperatures will sit below seasonal normals over the coming days, the warming March sun and relief from the bitterly cold temperatures of January and February will make it feel comparatively pleasant outside.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Tuesday March 1, 2022
With the coldest temperatures bottled back up in northern Manitoba, the stronger March sunshine will make it feel comparatively pleasant over southern regions.

It will be a beautiful day in the Red River Valley today with plenty of sunshine, light winds, and a high near -10 °C. A cold front will slump southwards tonight, bringing some cloud and another batch of light snow to the region. A couple centimetres of snow are possible overnight, followed by clearing skies for Wednesday morning.

Temperatures will be a bit cooler mid-week behind the cold front. Both Wednesday and Thursday will bring highs in the -10 to -15 °C range, but Wednesday night will be cold with lows approaching -30 °C. Lows will moderate towards -20 °C on Thursday evening as more cloud cover moves into the region ahead of a push of warmer air.

Winnipeg and area will see cloudier skies for the end of the week and the weekend. Highs will warm into the -5 to -10 °C range with overnight lows in the mid-minus teens. A bit of snow is possible over the weekend, with anywhere from 2–5 cm falling in a couple waves as disturbances pass to the north and south.

Long Range Outlook

Conditions look more settled next week with highs in the -5 to -10 °C range and lows in the -15 to -20 °C range. The region will see variable cloudiness and, although cool, it will continue to feel better and better as the sun gains strength.

Prolonged periods of cool(-ish) conditions and sunshine in March will help alleviate some of the flooding risk the region faces given substantial snow pack over the region. The strengthening sun can sublimate water out of the snow on ground, reducing it’s overall load and easing meltwater quantities. This may be a helpful couple weeks when it comes to the flood risk the region faces.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -5 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -15 °C.

Don’t Put The Shovel Away, More Clippers Ahead

Winnipeg will see cool conditions and more snow as clipper after clipper moves through the region.

RDPS Total Accumulated Snowfall (Kuchera SLR) valid 06Z Wednesday February 16, 2022
5–10 cm of snow will fall across most of southern Manitoba today.

The snow will gradually pile up this week as multiple disturbances move through southern Manitoba. This train of clippers will keep temperatures generally below seasonal and add to the ever-growing snow banks around the city.

The first clipper will move through the region today, bringing moderate southerly winds, some blowing snow in open areas, and 5–10 cm of new snow by the time it tapers off in the evening. The wind will ease off in the afternoon with a high around -10 °C. Temperatures will head back into the low minus teens tonight with some blowing snow and moderate northwesterlies.

The cloud cover will break up on Wednesday as an Arctic ridge moves into the province. Expect some blowing snow in open areas in the morning, followed by improving conditions as the northwesterlies ease through the afternoon. Temperatures will hover in the -15 to -20 °C range through the day, then quickly drop in the evening with clear skies. Winds will be light on Wednesday night with lows dropping back below -30 °C.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 12Z Thursday February 17, 2022
Bitter cold returns to southern Manitoba on Wednesday night with lows bottoming out below -30 °C on Thursday morning.

Thursday will be a sunny, cold day with temperatures topping out in the -20 to -25 °C range. The next clipper to impact the region will start pushing in on Thursday evening, bringing increasing cloud and warming tempreatures. Snow will begin overnight as southerly winds strengthen and temperatures warm into the mid-minus teens. More blowing snow will again develop through the Red River Valley by Friday morning.

Long Range Outlook

Another clipper moving through the region on Friday will bring 5–10 more centimetres of snow to the Red River Valley. There will be little reprieve afterwards, as forecast show yet another low impacting the province on Saturday. This system could end up bringing closer to 10 cm of snow to the region on Saturday into Sunday.

Temperatures will trend on the cooler than seasonal side of things through the weekend and potentially cool a little bit more heading into next week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -8 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -18 °C.

Cooler Weekend Ahead for Southern Manitoba

Winnipeg will see temperatures slide back into the “cold” category this weekend as another Arctic ridge settles into the province.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 12Z Saturday February 12, 2022
Temperatures will plummet back into the -30s Friday night into Saturday morning.

Today will start out with unpleasant conditions as the region sees blowing snow with moderate northwest winds of 40–50 km/h. The wind will ease through the day with gradual clearing as an Arctic high settles into the region. Temperatures will be notably colder than yesterday with little recovery from the overnight low. Temperatures will hover in the -20 to -25 °C range through the day, then drop below -30 °C tonight under clear skies.

The cold weather will stick around for Saturday, a weak upper trough moving through will likely bring some cloud cover as well. Highs will again sit in the -20 to -25 °C range, and temperatures will head back towards -30 °C tonight.

RDPS 24hr. Snow Accumulation valid 12Z Monday February 14, 2022
More snow will move through southern Manitoba on Sunday.

The next low pressure system to impact the region will move through on Sunday. Moderate southerly winds of 40–50 km/h will develop as cloud moves in early in the day, likely producing some areas of blowing snow through the Red River Valley. Snow will move into the region sometime midday, then taper off in the evening.

This system will push the coldest air out of the region, and while it will stay cool into next week, temperatures won’t be as bitterly cold as the region will see this weekend.

Long Range Outlook

Next week will bring varied conditions with some snow possible on Tuesday and towards the end of the week. Otherwise, the region should see sunshine in between with cool highs in the -15 to -20 °C range.

Heading towards next weekend, several forecast show moderating temperatures, with highs returning to seasonal values for the weekend.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -9 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -19 °C.

Cool Weekend With More Snow Ahead

Another Alberta Clipper is set to bring 5–10 cm of snow to the Red River Valley this weekend as seasonably cool temperatures continue.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Friday February 4, 2022
It will be another cold day in southern Manitoba on Friday with highs struggling into the -20 to -25 °C range.

Southern Manitoba will see cold temperatures today as another Arctic high slumps through the region. Daytime highs will sit in the -20 to -25 range this afternoon as northerly winds taper off. Winnipeg will see plenty of sunshine through much of the day.

The next system to impact the region will be an Alberta clipper that develops over Alberta today and dives southeastwards to North Dakota tonight. This system will push a warm front eastwards, spreading cloud cover across southern Manitoba this evening. This system will spread snow into Manitoba overnight as southerly winds pick up to 30 gusting 50 km/h. Temperatures will rise into the -15 to -20 °C range by Saturday morning.

The snow will persist through Saturday morning in the Red River Valley. A bit of blowing snow is possible through the morning hours, but will come to an end as the winds ease by midday. The snow will taper off in the afternoon with a few lingering flurries possible. Note that this system won’t be anywhere near as strong as the last clipper that brought widespread blizzard conditions throughout the region.

RDPS 24hr. Snowfall Accumulation (Kuchera SLR) valid 00Z Sunday February 6, 2022
Southern Manitoba will see more snow on Saturday with around 10 cm likely over the Red River Valley.

Total snow accumulation through the Red River Valley will likely end up close to 10 cm by the time it tapers off.

Temperatures will be a bit milder on Saturday with a high near -14 °C. Northerly winds of 20–30 km/h will move in behind the system on Saturday afternoon and help send temperatures back to a low in the -20 to -25 °C range on Saturday night.

Skies will clear on Sunday as another high moves through the region. Temperatures will climb back to a high in the -15 to -20 °C range.

Long Range Outlook

A potent low pressure system will track across the southern Arctic beginning Sunday night, spreading a much milder air mass across the Prairies as it goes. Temperatures in Winnipeg will rise into the mid-minus teens on Sunday night as moderate southerly winds develop and cloudier skies move in. A bit of light snow is also possible.

Southerly winds will ease a bit on Monday as temperatures soar into the -5 to 0 °C range. Mild weather will continue into Tuesday with highs possibly climbing a degree or two above freezing! A cold front will sweep through the region later in the day, bringing some cooler weather back.

Temperatures will trend back towards seasonal values for the rest of next week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -10 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -21 °C.