Mild Weather Turns Colder For The Weekend

Winnipeg will continue to see seasonably mild temperatures until a strong cold front pushes through on Friday.

Winnipeg will see increasing cloud today as a weak low moves into the region. With a high near -4 °C, the city will see a some light snow through the afternoon hours as the low passes. Winds will stay light today, and the snow will taper off tonight as the cloud cover gradually breaks up. Temperatures will dip to a near-seasonal low of -11 °C tonight. Winnipeg and area will likely see around 2 cm of snow by the time it tapers off.

On Thursday, another strong Pacific low will begin moving into the western Prairies. In southern Manitoba, a moderate southerly wind of 30–40 km/h will develop ahead of this approaching low. These winds will tap into milder air and send temperatures back up above freezing for the afternoon. Cloud will move in for Thursday night, which will combine with the breezy southerly winds to keep temperatures mild. Winnipeg should see a low near -2 °C. A few flurries are possible through the second half of the night as this system’s warm-sector trough moves through.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 00Z Saturday February 27, 2021
A potent cold front will sweep southwards through Mantitoba on Friday.

Friday will bring a marked change in the weather as a potent cold front surges southwards behind this low. Temperatures will quickly climb to around +1 °C by midday, but then strong northwest winds will move in as the cold front pushes through. Temperatures will drop to around -10 °C by the evening, then down to -20 °C overnight. Skies will stay mostly cloudy through the day with a chance for flurries once the cold front pushes through for the afternoon.

Long Range Outlook

Temperatures will fall below seasonal values for the weekend with highs in the minus teens and overnight lows dipping down into the mid-minus twenties. After that, warmer weather returns next week with what looks like a prolonged stretch of mild temperatures with highs near the freezing mark.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -6 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -16 °C.

Mild Start to the Week, But The Deep Freeze Looms

Mild, cloudy weather will stay over Winnipeg through the first half of the work week. The warmth will come to an abrupt end mid-week as bitter cold returns to the region for an extended period.

An upper ridge will support a southerly flow over the next few days, pushing mild temperatures across the province. The downside to the warmth will be fairly persistent cloud cover over much of the coming days. A few sunny breaks are possible in Winnipeg today, but skies should generally stay on the cloudier side. Temperatures will climb to a high near -6 °C today with light southeast winds picking up into the 15–25 km/h range by evening. The wind will increase into the 30–40 km/h range overnight with a low near -9 °C.

Tuesday will bring cloudy skies to the region as temperatures climb to a high near -2 °C. It will be windy with southerlies of 40–50 km/h, making it a relatively unpleasant day out in the Red River Valley. The winds will ease to 20 km/h by Wednesday morning with temperatures dipping to a low near -4 °C.

RDPS 12hr. Snowfall Accumulation (at 10:1 SLR) valid 06Z Thursday February 4, 2021
Much of southern Manitoba will see some snow on Wednesday, but ht heaviest amounts will occur north of the Trans-Canada Highway.

On Tuesday night, a low pressure system will move from eastern Saskatchewan into northern Manitoba. The warm-sector trough of this system will move through the Red River Valley on Wednesday morning, followed by some snow in the afternoon. Closely behind the snow will be an Arctic cold front surging across the Prairies. After 2–5 cm of snow, northwest winds will strengthen up to 40 gusting 60 km/h on Wednesday night. Temperatures will begin to plummet to a low near -17 °C.

Long Range Outlook

Bitterly cold air will build into the Prairie through the rest of the work week with daytime highs falling below -20 °C by Saturday. This bitterly cold air will likely stick around through next week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -11 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -21 °C.

Milder, Cloudy Weather Ahead

An upper ridge building across the Prairies will bring warm weather and plenty of cloud to Winnipeg this weekend.

Warmer weather arrives in Winnipeg today, thawing the region from the snap of cold air that settled over the region earlier in the week. Clouds moved in overnight and are going to stick around for at least the next three days. As a result, though, temperatures will stay fairly steady. Highs through the weekend will hover near -6 °C.

The wind will pick up out of the southeast into the 20–30 km/h range today. The wind will keep up through most of the night, keeping temperatures mild with a low of just -8 or -9 °C. The winds will ease for Saturday and Sunday, allowing lows to dip into the minus teens.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday January 30, 2021
Temperatures will warm back above seasonal averages across southern Manitoba this weekend.

A weak trough will move across southern Manitoba on Saturday, likely bringing some light snow with it. Nothing more than a dusting is likely with 1–2 cm possible by the end of the day. A few flurries are possible overnight into early Sunday morning, but any remaining snow will taper off by midday Sunday.

Long Range Outlook

The mainly cloudy and mild conditions will continue into mid-week. A low pressure system moving through on Wednesday will bring some more snow to the region and usher in another blast of Arctic air. Temperatures are forecast to plummet back to below-seasonal values for the end of next week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -11 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -22 °C.

Saturday Snow Ushers In Bitter Cold

Temperatures will rebound in Winnipeg on Saturday as a low brings light snow to the region. Things will take a turn for Sunday, though, as bitterly cold Arctic air plunges into the region as the low exits the area.

It will be a pleasant winter day in Winnipeg today with a bit of morning snow followed by mixed skies. Temperatures will sit near seasonal values with a high near -11 °C and light winds as a trough weakens over the region.

A compact low pressure system will head slide through northern Alberta today and across central Saskatchewan tonight. As it approaches Manitoba tonight, it will spread more cloud cover into the region and strengthen southerly winds into the 20–30 km/h range. Temperatures will dip to a low around -15 °C.

The low will cross Manitoba on Saturday, bringing a bit of snow to the region and milder temperatures. Winnipeg will see a high around -7 °C as the southerly winds ease into the 15–25 km/h midday and shift towards the northwest through the afternoon. This will also be the best chance for snow; once the warm-sector trough passes, snow is more likely as colder air starts pushing into the region. There’s a bit of disagreement amongst forecast models on how much snow will fall, but 2–4 cm is most likely with a chance of it ending up a bit outside of that range on either end depending on the exact track of the system.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 15Z Sunday January 24, 2021
Bitterly cold Arctic air will pour into the southern Prairies behind a low pressure system. This cold air will reach southern Manitoba by Sunday morning.

On Saturday evening, after this system passes, the wind will strengthen out of the northwest into the 30–40 km/h range. These northwesterly winds will tap into a rather cold Arctic air mass and begin dragging it into southern Manitoba. Temperatures will plummet to a low near -25 °C with clearing skies and gradually easing winds.

An Arctic ridge moving into the region on Sunday will keep things cold and sunny with winds easing to light. Temperatures in Winnipeg will recover only slightly to a high near -21 °C, then head awfully close to (if not below) -30 on Sunday night.

Long Range Outlook

The first half of next week will bring cloudier conditions as the coldest air gradually leaves the region. By mid-week, forecasts show temperatures returning to seasonably mild conditions that persist through next weekend. No major snowfalls are in the forecast.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -13 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -23 °C.