Major Pattern Change Sends Arctic Blast Southwards

Winnipeg will see a major shift in temperatures this weekend that will mark the start of a long stretch of colder weather.

A series of passing lows will keep Winnipeg cloudy heading into the weekend with a couple of chances for flurries. A brisk southerly wind will develop this morning, increasing into the 20 to 30 km/h range. This cool outflow from a departing ridge will keep temperatures slightly cooler again today with a high eventually reaching -6°C. An approaching shortwave will bring a chance of flurries to the region later this afternoon into the evening. Skies will stay cloudy overnight with a chance of flurries as temperatures dip to a low near -10°C. The winds will ease in the evening.

Winds will pick up out of the south again on Saturday as an organized clipper system arrives. The city will see a chance for some light snow as a warm front moves through in the morning. Winds will pick up out of the south into the 30 to 40 km/h range in the morning as temperatures head to a high near -1°C. The wind will ease late in the day.

The major pattern shift begins on Saturday evening as a cold front sweeps southeastwards across the province. It will push through, bringing a bit of light snow and then ushering in northwesterly winds of 30 to 40 km/h. There northwest winds will be pushing in much colder air sourced from a large Arctic high moving into the Prairies. Temperatures will dip to a low near -17°C on Saturday night.

GDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 18Z Sunday December 8, 2019
Bitterly cold air will begin building into Manitoba on Sunday as a potent Arctic high pushes into the region.

Temperatures will barely recover on Sunday as skies clear out and winds gradually ease through the day. The Arctic high will push into the southern half of the province on Sunday night, sending temperatures into the low minus 20’s overnight.

Long Range Outlook

Unfortunately, there is little improvement for Winnipeg in the medium-range forecast. Cold weather will continue to persist for several more days.

GDPS 850mb Temperature Anomaly Forecast valid 00Z Tuesday December 10, 2019
The forecast 850mb temperature anomalies show Winnipeg embedded within a large outbreak of below-normal temperatures to start next week.

The city will spend much of the week with daytime highs near -20°C and overnight lows in the mid- to low -20’s. Wind chills will also begin to move into hazardous territory with values in the -30 to -40 range possible during the nights.

Moderation towards seasonal temperatures should occur near the end of the week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -8°C while the seasonal overnight low is -17°C.

Cold Front Brings Seasonal Temperatures Back to Winnipeg

Winnipeg will get one more seasonably mild day before a cold front brings cooler temperatures back to the region.

Mild temperatures will stick around for one more day in Winnipeg with the city seeing variable cloudiness and light westerlies. A cloudy morning will give way to mixed skies with a high near -1°C. A cold front pushing into the region this evening will bring more clouds and a chance of flurries. Winds will shift to the northwest behind the front overnight as temperatures dip to a low near -9°C.

Thursday will bring north-northwest winds of 30 gusting 50 km/h to Winnipeg as an Arctic ridge builds in from the northern Prairies. This push of cooler air will keep temperatures steady through the day around -9°C. Skies will be cloudy through the morning and some clearing will gradually push towards the region through the afternoon.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 15Z Thursday December 5, 2019
A large Arctic ridge will push into Manitoba on Thursday, bringing breezy northwest winds and cooler temperatures to the region.

The city will see a chance of flurries through the day but little to no accumulation. Winnipeg will see mainly clear skies for a bit on Thursday night, allowing temperatures to drop to a low near -16°C. More cloud will push back into the Red River Valley overnight.

Winnipeg will again see mostly cloudy skies on Friday with a stiff southerly wind increasing into the 30 to 40 km/h range. The cloud and southerly wind coming out of the Arctic ridge will keep temperatures seasonal with a high near -7°C. Winds will ease on Friday night with temperatures dropping a degree or two.

Long Range Outlook

A more organized low pushing into the region on Saturday will bring warmer temperatures to the region with daytime highs climbing back to around -2°C. As it crosses on Saturday afternoon there will be a good chance for some snow, then a potent shot of cold air follows.

By Monday, daytime highs will dip into the -15 to -20°C range, with daytime highs of -20°C possible on Tuesday and Wednesday. Yikes! These cold temperatures will stick around at least until the end of the week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -7°C while the seasonal overnight low is -16°C.

Cloudy Weather Continues with Snow To Cap Off The Work Week

Cloudy skies will stay entrenched over Winnipeg through the rest of the work week with on-and-off flurries. Organized snow will move through the city on Friday.

Winnipeg will see little change in the weather over the next two days. Over the next 48 hours, a weak ridge extending from an Arctic high over northern Manitoba will move across the Red River Valley. It will keep skies mainly cloudy with a persistent chance of flurries like those seen on Tuesday. Highs over the next couple days will climb to around -4 or -5°C with north winds of 20 to 30 km/h today diminishing to light for Thursday. A few breaks in the cloud look likely tonight, which will allow temperatures to dip to a low near -10°C. If those breaks don’t materialize, then lows will be a bit warmer in the -6 to -8°C range. On Thursday night, a low pressure system moving into the Northern Plains of the U.S. will keep lows warmer, hovering around -5°C.

The aforementioned low will spread light snow across southern Manitoba on Friday. Temperatures will climb to a high of -2°C with a breezy easterly wind near 20 km/h. Winnipeg will likely see 2 to 5 cm of snow by Friday evening. Temperatures will hover near -3°C on Friday night with a chance of flurries.

ECMWF 24hr. Snow QPF (10:1 SLR) valid 00Z Saturday November 30, 2019
A swath of 2 to 5 cm of snow will spread across southern Manitoba on Friday. Image snowfall accumulations in inches.

Long Range Outlook

Saturday will bring more cloud with a brisk northeasterly wind near 30 km/h. Temperatures will stay seasonably mild with a high near -1°C. Cooler air will push in for Sunday, bringing a return to near-seasonal temperatures and, perhaps, a bit of sunshine.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -6°C while the seasonal overnight low is -14°C.

GDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid Tuesday November 26, 2019 (Image courtesy Pivotal Weather)

Cooler and Cloudier Weather Ahead

Winnipeg will see plenty of cloud through the first half of the week as temperatures gradually return to seasonal values.

Winnipeg will see cooler weather move into the region over the next few days, pushing south behind the disturbance exiting the region this morning. An upper low over the central Prairies will block any potential for an Arctic blast, though. Instead, there will be plenty of cloud cover with occasional flurries as temperatures slide to seasonal values.

Today, Winnipeg will see the snow taper off with a few flurries lingering. Temperatures will over around 0 or -1°C through most of the day with winds picking up out of the north to 30 gusting 50 km/h. The wind will taper off this evening as the city heads to a low near -6°C under mostly cloudy skies. There will be a chance of flurries through the night.

The city will see plenty of cloud on Tuesday, but a few sunny breaks are possible. Temperatures will climb to a high around -3°C and winds will be light. With the upper low in the vicinity, the city will continue to see a chance for a few flurries. Winds will pick up light out of the northeast on Tuesday night as Winnipeg heads to a low near -7°C. Skies will stay cloudy with…a chance of flurries.

Skies will again stay mainly cloudy on Wednesday with what looks like a good chance for some flurries. The high should be around the -5°C mark with a light northerly wind. Mostly cloudy conditions will continue Wednesday night with a low near -10°C.

Long Range Outlook

Unfortunately, the sun doesn’t look like it will make much of an appearance through the second half of the week, either. Another disturbance is forecast to move through on Thursday night, likely bringing another 2 to 5 cm of snow to Winnipeg and area. Temperatures will continue to hover around seasonal values into the weekend.

The sun is forecast to make a reappearance heading into Saturday and Sunday, but cooler conditions will push in to start next week, sending daytime highs below the -10°C make.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -5°C while the seasonal overnight low is -13°C.