Tag: Thundershowers

Hot Start to July

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We will have a hot end to the Canada Day long weekend and a hot start to the month of July.

Pleasant Conditions are Expected on Canada Day Across the Eastern Prairies

Canada Day Monday

Monday

Mainly Sunny
28°C / 12°C

Temperatures on Monday will be in the upper twenties in Southern Manitoba. Skies will be mainly sunny and winds will be light, making it a perfect Canada Day!

Tuesday

Tuesday

Mix of Sun and Cloud. Chance of showers and risk of a thundershower
30°C / 16°C

Tuesday should see temperatures climb up around the 30C mark in most of Southern Manitoba. We may see some pop up showers or thundershowers as the atmosphere will be a bit less stable than it was on the weekend. Wind speeds will remain light, so conditions will generally be very nice.

Wednesday

Wednesday

Mainly Sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thundershower.
31°C / 17°C

Wednesday will again be a hot day in Southern Manitoba. Temperatures will once again be around the 30C mark. There may also be a few pop up showers or thundershowers again on Wednesday, but they are expected to be even more isolated than on Tuesday. The wind will be breezy from the south or south-west, providing a bit of relief from the hot weather.

Long Range

The long range forecast shows hot weather continuing in Southern Manitoba through the foreseeable future. Models suggest that we will stay above normal for much of the next 10-16 days. The accuracy of these forecasts past the 7 to 10 day range can be quite bad in many cases, but the overall trend appears to indicate a hot first half of July. Typically these hot patterns don’t like to break down very quickly at this time of year, so I wouldn’t be at all surprised if we saw generally hot weather last through much of July.

Warm Weather Continues; Little Rain in Sight

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Upper-level flow for this evening

Upper-level flow forecast for this evening over Central North America from the GEM-GLB. Of note is the shortwave pushing out of Alberta. This feature will flatten the upper ridge over Southern Manitoba and bring some unsettled weather to SW MB on Sunday.

Rainfall will continue to be spotty and elusive over the Red River Valley as warm temperatures persist and and upper-level ridging maintains it’s hold over the Eastern Prairies. While numerous systems trek through Alberta and Saskatchewan into Northern Manitoba over the next few days, mainly sunny skies are in store for us as we head into the weekend with daytime highs generally around 28°C across much of the Red River Valley. Humidity levels will be lower today and through the weekend than they were on Thursday, however overnight lows will still remain relatively warm in the high teens.

On Sunday, a low pressure system will move eastwards out of Saskatchewan through the Interlake region. Models are suggesting that a band of nocturnal thunderstorms will push into Southern Manitoba on Saturday night and push eastwards before dying around mid-morning. It’s far too early to know where these storms will actually occur, so we’ll be sure to provide updates in the comments. After that band of thunderstorms falls apart, the rest of Sunday actually looks quite nice with clearing skies in the RRV and a high near 30°C.

Next week looks to start off quite pleasant with little chance of precipitation in the RRV until mid-week.