Mild Friday Followed by Cooler, Unsettled Weekend

Spring weather arrives in Winnipeg today with plenty of sunshine and a return to seasonal temperatures. The weekend will bring unsettled conditions as a pair of disturbances move through.

Seasonal temperatures will return to Winnipeg today as a breezy southwest wind pushes milder Pacific air back into the region. Winds will strengthen to 30 gusting 50 km/h through the morning under sunny skies. As a low pressure system moves towards the province from the northwest, a few clouds will begin to arrive through the afternoon.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Friday April 17, 2020
Seasonal temperatures will return to Winnipeg today thanks to a breezy southwest wind.

Skies will cloud over this evening as the low moves through the region, bringing with it a chance of showers. Winds will ease, then shift northwesterly overnight as a cold front swings through. The cloudy conditions will persist on Saturday with a lingering chance for showers gradually tapering off. It will be cooler on Saturday as northwest winds of 30 to 40 km/h limit temperatures to just a couple degrees above tonight’s low.

Skies will clear out later on Saturday afternoon, then winds will ease and temperatures will dip below freezing on Saturday night.

Another low pressure system will approach the region on Sunday, bringing increasing cloudiness and breezy west-southwest winds again. Temperatures will again climb into the mid-single digits. By the afternoon, a chance of showers will develop, but much of the precipitation is forecast to fall north of the area. Much of the cloud will stick around on Sunday night with a continued chance of showers or flurries.

Long Range Outlook

Conditions will improve next week when a more sustained period of seasonal temperatures moves into the region. A westerly flow will bring several disturbances across the province through the week, resulting in variable cloudiness and a few chances for rain.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 11°C while the seasonal overnight low is -1°C.

A Short-Lived Snap of Cool Temperatures

Seasonably cool temperatures will start the week in Winnipeg, but the city will see a quick return to milder temperatures.

An Arctic high moving through the region today will bring cooler temperatures to Winnipeg with a high near -10°C. Fortunately, that unpleasant north wind that developed yesterday afternoon will be absent today. Temperatures will dip down to around -16°C tonight as the high exits the area and light winds shift southerly.

On Tuesday, the region will see near-seasonal temperatures as highs climb to around -4°C. Winds will stay light through the day and skies should be mainly sunny. This will be a great day to get outside and enjoy the increasing warmth of the March sun! On Tuesday night, a potent low crossing the northern Prairies will begin to affect the Red River Valley. Winds will pick up out of the south overnight into the 30 to 40 m/h range as skies cloud over. Temperatures will dip to a low near -8°C.

GPDS 10m Wind Forecast valid 12Z Wednesday March 11, 2020"
The Red River Valley will see breezy southerly winds on Wednesday.

Winnipeg will see cloudy skies on Wednesday with those breezy southerly winds easing late in the day. Temperatures will be warm with a high near +2°C as mild Pacific air washes across the southern Prairies. Winds will shift westerly overnight as temperatures dip to a low near -3°C with partly cloudy skies.

Long Range Outlook

Thursday will bring more warm weather, but a cold front moving through on Thursday night will send daytime highs back into the low minus single digits for the end of the week. Seasonably cool temperatures will persist through the weekend with the potential for another round of accumulating snow across southern Manitoba.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -3°C while the seasonal overnight low is -13°C.

Strong Winds Today, Light Snow and Cooler on Sunday

Winnipeg will see strong southerly winds today as warmer air pushes back towards the region. After a mild Saturday, some light snow and cooler temperatures return for Sunday.

Winnipeg will see windy conditions today as a low pressure system pushes eastwards across the Prairies. Southerly winds will strengthen to 50 gusting 70 km/h this morning and persist through the day. Fortunately, the snow on Wednesday night was fairly sticky and should’t blow around too much. Some areas of blowing snow will be possible in exposed areas outside the city. Temperatures will climb to a high near -1°C and skies will start out on the cloudier side with more sunshine showing through this afternoon. The winds will gradually ease through the night. Temperatures will stay steady around -2°C tonight with increasing cloud.

RDPS 10m Wind Forecast valid 18Z Friday March 6, 2020
Strong southerly winds will develop over the Red River Valley today.

Saturday will bring mostly cloudy skies and light winds to the region. A trough of low pressure will lie across the region, connecting the departing low over Hudson Bay with a developing low over Montana. Temperatures will climb to a high just on the plus side of 0°C. Skies will become overcast on Saturday night with temperatures dropping to a low near -9°C as northerly winds of 20 to 30 km/h develop. Snow will spread into the province through the night; the heaviest snow will track well north of Winnipeg across WestMan into the northern and central Interlake. Here in the city, some light snow is possible heading into the early morning hours of Sunday.

GFS 24hr. Snowfall Accumulation (10:1 SLR) valid Monday March 9, 2020
Snow will spread across portions of central and southern Manitoba on Saturday night through Sunday. Some areas may see 15 to 20 cm of snow by Sunday evening.

A brisk northerly wind of 30 gusting 50 km/h will develop Sunday with temperatures slowly dropping through the day. Skies will stay overcast with periods of light snow likely through the day. By evening, temperatures should be sitting near -9°C. Winds will taper off overnight as temperatures continue to drop to a low near -16°C.

Long Range Outlook

Next week will start with seasonably cool conditions with Monday’s high in the -10 to -15°C range. Warmer weather will quickly return, though, with near-freezing temperatures moving back into the region on Tuesday and sticking around for the week!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -4°C while the seasonal overnight low is -14°C.

Mild Week Brings Wednesday Night Snow, Windy Friday

Mild temperatures continue across the Red River Valley, but Winnipeg will see accumulating snow Wednesday evening.

Winnipeg will see temperatures climb to a high near 0°C again today with southeasterly winds increasing to 30 gusting 50 km/h. The city will see variable cloudiness through the morning, then skies will cloud over through the afternoon hours as a low pressure system arrives. Snow will spread into Winnipeg and the northern Red River Valley later this afternoon. Winds will ease in the evening as the low centre moves through, then pick up out of the northwest overnight. By Thursday morning, Winnipeg will see 5 to 10 cm of new snow with northwest winds up to 30 km/h. Temperatures will dip to a low near -5°C tonight. The accumulating snow will taper off overnight.

ECMWF 24 hr. Snowfall Accumulation (10:1 SLR) Forecast valid 18Z Thursday March 5, 2020
A low pressure system moving across southern Manitoba will give 5 to 10 cm (2 to 3.5″) of snow to the region by Thursday morning.

On Thursday, skies will clear out through the day as the low exits the province. Moderate northwesterly winds in the 30 to 40 km/h range will stick around for the day, then ease in the evening. Winnipeg will see a near-seasonal high of -3°C. Mixed skies will develop overnight as winds shift to the south at 10 to 20 km/h. Lows should dip to about -12°C.

On Friday, another low pushing towards the region will generate strong southerly winds in the Red River Valley. Winds will strengthen into the 40 to 50 km/h range by midday as temperatures climb to a high near 0°C.

RDPS 10m Wind Forecast valid 00Z Saturday March 7, 2020
Strong southerly winds will develop over the Red River Valley on Friday.

It looks like Winnipeg will see a fair amount of cloud, but some sunny breaks are likely. The wind will gradually ease on Friday night as temperatures head to a low near -3°C. Skies will stay mostly cloudy through the night.

Long Range Outlook

Mild weather will continue into the weekend with highs at or above freezing on Saturday. A fairly expansive low pressure system will spread snow across the southern Prairies on Saturday, pushing into Manitoba on Saturday night through Sunday. Winnipeg will likely see some snow from this system, but it’s unclear right now exactly how much the city will receive.

Model forecasts suggest that the heaviest snow will be well north of the city, falling from WestMan eastwards across the Interlake and onwards to the Ontario border. If this were the case, Winnipeg would see somewhere around 2 to 5 cm of snow from this system. That said, small changes in the track of this system, north or south, could significantly change the amount of snow the city receives. We’ll take a closer look at this system’s snowfall potential in Friday’s forecast!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -4°C while the seasonal overnight low is -15°C.