Dry and Mild Conditions Ahead

A series of low pressure systems tracking along the 60th parallel will spread mild Pacific air eastwards over the Prairies throughout the week, bringing warm and dry weather to Winnipeg for much of the coming week.

Breezy south-southwest winds of 20 km/h strengthening to 30 gusting to 50 km/h westerlies will bring above-seasonal high temperatures near 16°C to Winnipeg today as another warm front pushes across the Red River Valley. The front will bring partly cloudy to mixed skies in the morning, giving way to more sunshine in the afternoon. The clouds will completely clear out tonight as the winds taper off. Temperatures will dip down to a low near 4°C.

Even warmer temperatures are on the way Tuesday as even milder air pushes eastwards across the Prairies. Winnipeg and the Red River Valley can expect daytime high temperatures in the 18-21°C range under mainly sunny skies, but a moderate south-southwesterly wind of 30 gusting to 50 km/h will develop for the afternoon hours. These winds will persist into Tuesday night in the 20 to 30 km/h range as temperatures drop to a low near 9°C under partly cloudy skies.

GDPS Forecast 850mb Temperature Anomalies valid 00Z Wednesday October 18, 2017
Seen easily in this 850mb temperature anomaly forecast for Tuesday evening, significantly warmer-than-normal temperatures will be moving through the southern Prairies.

Slightly cooler temperatures return for Wednesday as a cold front sweeps through the Red River Valley early in the day, ushering northwesterly winds of 40 gusting to 60 km/h that will draw cooler air back into the region. Temperatures will reach a high in the low teens under partly cloudy skies. The “cooler” weather will be short lived, though, as another warm front pushes into Manitoba Wednesday night. This will bring more cloud to the region and keep overnight lows slightly warmer than Tuesday night at around 5°C.

Long Range

The remainder of the week looks quite warm with temperatures climbing back towards 20°C by the end of the week as yet another surge of mild air spreads eastwards across the Prairies.

GDPS Forecast 850mb Temperature Anomalies valid 00Z Wednesday Friday 20, 2017
An even warmer surge of mild air will return to southern Manitoba on Thursday into Friday

Slightly cooler conditions will move in for the weekend, as a disturbance moves through and brings a chance of showers, but temperatures are expected to remain above-seasonal until early next week.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 10°C while the seasonal overnight low is -1°C.

Mild & Windy Mid-Week Leads To A Cooler Weekend

A low pressure system approaching from the west will bring windy conditions today and keep above-seasonal temperatures in Winnipeg and the Red River Valley for a couple more days. Cooler temperatures will return for the weekend, however, as Arctic air floods southwards across the Prairies on the back-side of this disturbance.

Temperatures will climb to a seasonally balmy 16°C today under partly cloudy skies as mild air moves northwards into the province ahead of an approaching low pressure system in Saskatchewan. While there will be a fair amount of sun today with just partly cloudy skies, the wind may make things a bit unpleasant as it ramps up out of the south to 40 gusting 60 km/h this afternoon. Skies will cloud up for the evening with winds continuing to be breezy out of the south at 20-30 km/h. Temperatures look to drop to a low near 7°C.

Breezy southerly winds (purple, pink) will be in place across southern Manitoba later today

Thursday will bring mainly cloudy skies to the region with winds diminishing to 15-25 km/h, first out of the south then switching to the west after a trough of low pressure moves through in the afternoon. Temperatures will reach a high near 16°C, but clearing skies in the evening will allow temperatures to dip to a chilly +3°C overnight.

Cooler temperatures return to the region on Friday as Arctic air spreads across the Prairies. Temperatures will reach a high of just 10 or 11°C with breezy westerly winds to around 30 km/h that will taper off on Friday evening. The cool temperatures and breezy winds will make it feel rather chilly, but at least the sun will be out in full force with mainly sunny conditions expected throughout the Red River Valley. Winnipeg will then likely see another freeze on Friday night with temperatures dipping into the -2 to 0°C range.

Long Range

The weekend looks like it will bring variable cloudiness and below to near-seasonal temperatures with highs in the upper single digits or low teens and overnight lows dipping down near the freezing mark. Conditions continue to look dry with no significant chances for precipitation on the horizon.

No precipitation is expected in Winnipeg between now and next Monday

Heading into next week, temperatures look to be near to slightly above-seasonal, however the chances for precipitation will begin to return as a slightly more unsettled pattern develops.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 12°C while the seasonal overnight low is 1°C.

RDPS Forecast 2m Temperature valid 21Z Monday October 9, 2017

Cooler Fall Weather Settles In for Thanksgiving

As winds ease off, much cooler weather will establish itself over southern Manitoba and bring a distinctly “October” chill to the region for Thanksgiving. Warmer weather will quickly move back into the region, though, with above-seasonal temperatures expected to return for Tuesday!

Temperatures will take quite a slump today as a blast of cooler air spreads over southern Manitoba, brought southwards by breezy winds behind a major low pressure system that is now making its way across Hudson Bay. Breezy west-northwesterly winds will continue today in Winnipeg to around 20 to 30 km/h with temperatures climbing to a cooler-than-seasonal high of just 8°C. Fortunately, there should be a fair amount of sunshine with just partly cloudy skies.

Winds will taper off quite quickly this evening as a ridge of high pressure builds into the region. With just a few clouds, temperatures will likely dip below 0°C in many areas with frost; for Winnipeg, lows should range between -2°C to +1°C with the colder temperatures in more open areas or near the outer edges of the city. Winds will pick up slightly to near 20 km/hout of the south by early Tuesday morning.

Tuesday will bring warmer temperatures back to the region as the colder temperatures associated with the ridge of high pressure move off to the east. Unfortunately, some of that warming will be offset by breezy winds once again, this time out of the south to southwest.

RDPS Forecast 2m Temperature valid 21Z Tuesday October 10, 2017
Warmer temperatures will spread across southern Manitoba on Tuesday

Under sunny skies, temperatures will climb to a high near 16°C — slightly above-seasonal for this time of year — but winds will strengthen to 30 km/h out of the south ahead of a developing low pressure system in Alberta. Expect a bit of cloudiness to build in late in the day, although with sunset marching earlier and earlier, they may hold off until dark. Winds will continue out of the south on Tuesday night out of the south at around 20-30 km/h with more clouds pushing into the region. Temperatures should drop to a low near 5°C.

Wednesday will bring mixed skies to the region as the Alberta low exits the province and begins tracking eastwards across Saskatchewan. No rain is expected for our region, more likely remaining confined to the warm front extending across central Manitoba associated with the disturbance. Temperatures in Winnipeg will be a bit cooler than Tuesday due to the cloud cover, but temperature should still reach an above-seasonal 15°C or so for the daytime high. Winds will again be a prominent aspect of the daily weather as they continue out of the south to southeast at around 30 km/h.

Temperatures will then dip to a low near 8°C under mixed skies on Wednesday night with winds easing off a bit.

Long Range

The remainder of the week looks like a mixed bag; skies will see variable cloudiness with temperatures returning to below-seasonal values after the Saskatchewan low passes through on Thursday. Friday may be breezy with gusty westerlies moving in behind the low, but after that it at least appears that winds should ease off for the weekend.

GDPS Total Precipitation Accumulation Forecast from 00Z Monday October 9 to 00Z Thursday October 19, 2017
Little to no precipitation is expected across southern Manitoba over the next 10 days

Conditions look fairly dry, however, with little, if any, precipitation expected between now and the start of next week; the main storm track will remain across the central and northern Prairies, keeping the bulk of the rainfall well north of Winnipeg. Overall, the next 10 days looks to be quite dry across southeastern Saskatchewan across southern Manitoba and into the Lake of the Woods.

Aside from the wind, though, it’s relatively pleasant as far as fall weather goes!

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 12°C while the seasonal overnight low is 1°C.

Windy Weekend Ahead

A low pressure system tracking across the northern Prairies will bring windy conditions to Winnipeg this weekend alongside some milder temperatures.

As mentioned above, a fairly large low pressure system will move across the northern Prairies over the next few days that will draw some warmer air northwards out of the United States, but also produce fairly breezy conditions across the region.

Today will see the wind build out of the south to 20-30 km/h with gusts as high as 50 km/h as temperatures climb to an above-seasonal high near 17°C. Skies will remain sunny throughout the day, making for a relatively pleasant day. Winds will stay breezy out of the south at 20-30 km/h through the night with a bit of gustiness as temperatures drop to a low near 8°C. Skies will be fairly clear much of the night, but expect a few clouds to build in towards morning.

RDPS Forecast 10m Winds valid 21Z Saturday October 7, 2017
Moderate westerly winds will spread across southern Manitoba behind a cold front on Saturday afternoon

Saturday will bring another day of above-seasonal temperatures as highs climb to around the 16°C mark, but skies will bring more clouds, particularly for the afternoon. After a cold front moves through midday, winds will shift to the west and strengthen to 40 gusting to 60 km/h. There may be a slight chance of some rain, but it looks likely that any shower activity will remain north of Winnipeg. Winds will remain breezy out of the west-southwest at around 30 gusting 50 km/h through the night as skies clear and temperatures dip to a low near 7°C.

Sunny skies will move in once again on Sunday, with clear conditions through the morning and partly cloudy skies developing for the afternoon as we hit a high temperature near 13°C. Winds will continue to be breezy out of the west-southwest at around 30 gusting to 50 km/h. Skies will clear for Sunday night as temperatures dip to a low near 4°C.

Long Range

Much of next week looks…unremarkable. Monday will bring slightly below-seasonal temperatures as cooler air filters southwards in the wake of the low pressure system exiting the region, but a quick rebound towards seasonal values are expected on Tuesday and will persist through the week. Skies will be sunny to partly cloudy for much of the week and winds look to be a bit breezy mid-week, but precipitation looks scarce, with no significant chances for rain until the end of the week.

So, actually, it looks like a lovely week of fall weather is coming up. Enjoy!

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 13°C while the seasonal overnight low is 2°C.